Language:English
Jacobe Smith v Josiah Harrell
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Jacobe Smith (Local)
Prediction 72.41%1.38fair odd
EV -1.52%
Edge -1.12%
Kelly -4.22%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.36
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.65%72.37%72.46%74.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.251.311.321.3680.00%76.22%75.76%73.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Josiah Harrell (Visit)
Prediction 27.59%3.62fair odd
EV +3.45%
Edge +0.920%
Kelly +1.25%
Growth +0.043%
assuming max odds 3.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.25%27.63%27.54%29.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.443.403.7530.77%29.05%29.41%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jacobe Smith (Local): 72.41%; Josiah Harrell (Visit): 27.59%. For Josiah Harrell (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.62. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.45%.
Sportsbook Odds (39 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -8.04%E -6.33%K -29.76%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV +3.45%E +0.920%K +1.25%G +0.043% | 5.4% | 2026-02-22 02:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -9.48%E -7.59%K -37.93%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV +2.07%E +0.560%K +0.767%G +0.016% | 7.0% | 2026-02-22 02:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -9.48%E -7.59%K -37.93%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV +2.07%E +0.560%K +0.767%G +0.016% | 7.0% | 2026-02-22 02:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.73%EV -6.59%E -5.11%K -22.71%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.27%EV -0.136%E -0.038%K -0.052%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-22 02:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.14%E -3.92%K -16.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -0.688%E -0.191%K -0.265%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-22 02:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.59%E -5.11%K -22.71%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -0.688%E -0.191%K -0.265%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-22 01:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -4.41%E -3.34%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -2.07%E -0.582%K -0.811%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-22 02:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -3.69%E -2.77%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -3.45%E -0.985%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-22 02:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.86%E -4.51%K -19.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.45%E -0.985%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-22 02:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.59%E -5.11%K -22.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.45%E -0.985%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-22 02:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.93%EV -2.24%E -1.66%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 28.07%EV -4.55%E -1.32%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-02-22 01:59 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -7.31%E -5.71%K -26.11%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -4.83%E -1.40%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-22 02:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.09%EV -8.04%E -6.33%K -29.76%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -4.83%E -1.40%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-22 01:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.09%EV -8.04%E -6.33%K -29.76%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -4.83%E -1.40%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-22 02:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -2.97%E -2.21%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -6.21%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-22 02:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.41%E -3.34%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.21%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-22 02:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.41%E -3.34%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.21%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-22 02:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.41%E -3.34%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.21%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-22 02:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.41%E -3.34%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.21%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-22 02:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.41%E -3.34%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.21%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-22 02:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.41%E -3.34%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.21%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-22 02:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.41%E -3.34%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.21%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-22 02:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.41%E -3.34%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.21%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-22 02:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.41%E -3.34%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.21%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-22 02:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.41%E -3.34%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.21%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-22 02:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.41%E -3.34%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.21%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-22 02:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.41%E -3.34%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.21%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-22 02:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.41%E -3.34%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.21%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-22 02:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.14%E -3.92%K -16.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.21%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-22 02:08 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.86%E -4.51%K -19.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.21%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-22 02:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.86%E -4.51%K -19.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.21%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-22 02:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.13%EV -1.52%E -1.12%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV -7.58%E -2.26%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-02-22 02:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.69%E -2.77%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -7.58%E -2.26%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-22 02:06 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.69%E -2.77%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -7.58%E -2.26%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-22 02:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.69%E -2.77%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -7.58%E -2.26%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-22 02:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.14%E -3.92%K -16.58%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -7.58%E -2.26%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-22 02:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -2.24%E -1.66%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -8.96%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-22 02:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.69%E -2.77%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.96%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-22 02:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -2.24%E -1.66%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -10.34%E -3.18%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-22 02:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29% | 0.4% | 2026-02-22 02:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 0.6% | 2026-02-22 02:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 0.6% | 2026-02-22 02:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.15% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85% | 1.2% | 2026-02-22 02:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.87% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.13% | 1.6% | 2026-02-22 02:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.73% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.27% | 1.9% | 2026-02-22 02:10 |