The School of Odds

Jackson Glass v Zak Flessas

2026-07-18 22:00 UTC — MMA

Head to Head

5 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Jackson Glass (Local)

Prediction 89.94%1.11fair odd
EV -4.66%
Edge -4.40%
Kelly -77.73%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.06

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
89.46%89.94%89.94%90.42%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.061.061.061.0694%94%94%94%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Zak Flessas (Visit)

Prediction 10.06%9.94fair odd
EV +0.604%
Edge +0.060%
Kelly +0.067%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 10.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
9.58%10.06%10.06%10.54%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
9.009.209.0010.0011%11%11%10%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (5 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.66%E -4.40%K -77.73%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +0.604%E +0.060%K +0.067%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-16 07:10
FanDuel1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.66%E -4.40%K -77.73%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -9.46%E -1.05%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-16 07:10
Bally Bet1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.66%E -4.40%K -77.73%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -9.46%E -1.05%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-16 07:10
Unibet1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.66%E -4.40%K -77.73%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -9.46%E -1.05%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-16 07:14
Grosvenor1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.66%E -4.40%K -77.73%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -9.46%E -1.05%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-16 07:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.