The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Jack Shore v Allan Begosso

Kickoff: 2026-03-29 01:40 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jack Shore (Local)

Prediction 52.60%1.90fair odd
EV -2.69%
Edge -1.46%
Kelly -3.17%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.81%52.60%52.60%53.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.831.821.8555.56%54.75%54.95%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Allan Begosso (Visit)

Prediction 47.40%2.11fair odd
EV -2.82%
Edge -1.38%
Kelly -2.69%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.75%47.40%47.40%49.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.881.911.882.0553.19%52.23%53.19%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jack Shore (Local): 52.60%; Allan Begosso (Visit): 47.40%. For Jack Shore (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.90. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.85, with an expected value of -2.69%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.69%E -1.46%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.19%E -2.60%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-28 01:35
Neds🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -2.69%E -1.46%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -8.99%E -4.68%K -9.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-27 22:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -2.69%E -1.46%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -8.99%E -4.68%K -9.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-27 22:20
Unibet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.94%EV -4.27%E -2.35%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.06%EV -10.41%E -5.51%K -11.70%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-27 14:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.81%EV -4.27%E -2.35%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.19%EV -10.88%E -5.79%K -12.37%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-27 14:54
Unibet (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.81%EV -4.27%E -2.35%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.19%EV -10.88%E -5.79%K -12.37%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-27 14:54
Unibet (NL)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.81%EV -4.27%E -2.35%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.19%EV -10.88%E -5.79%K -12.37%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-27 14:54
LeoVegas🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.81%EV -4.27%E -2.35%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.19%EV -10.88%E -5.79%K -12.37%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-27 14:55
Grosvenor🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.81%EV -4.27%E -2.35%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.19%EV -10.88%E -5.79%K -12.37%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-27 14:54
Bally Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.81%EV -4.27%E -2.35%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.19%EV -10.88%E -5.79%K -12.37%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-27 14:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.32%E -2.96%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.82%E -1.38%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-28 01:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.