Language:English
Jack Jenkins v Sean Woodson
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Jack Jenkins (Local)
Prediction 42.83%2.34fair odd
EV +2.78%
Edge +1.16%
Kelly +1.99%
Growth +0.055%
assuming max odds 2.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.15%42.89%42.86%45.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.022.212.202.4049.50%45.16%45.45%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Sean Woodson (Visit)
Prediction 57.17%1.75fair odd
EV -1.66%
Edge -0.966%
Kelly -2.31%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.72
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.01%57.11%57.14%59.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.671.681.7262.50%59.85%59.52%58.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jack Jenkins (Local): 42.83%; Sean Woodson (Visit): 57.17%. For Jack Jenkins (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.34. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.78%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (36 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV +2.78%E +1.16%K +1.99%G +0.055% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -7.95%E -4.94%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-29 08:44 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV +0.642%E +0.273%K +0.476%G +0.003% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -7.95%E -4.94%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-29 08:43 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -0.642%E -0.277%K -0.487%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -6.24%E -3.80%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-29 08:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36%EV -1.50%E -0.652%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64%EV -3.38%E -2.00%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-28 13:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -2.78%E -1.23%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -3.95%E -2.35%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-29 08:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.93%EV -3.21%E -1.42%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.07%EV -2.81%E -1.65%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-29 08:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.64%EV -3.21%E -1.42%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.36%EV -3.95%E -2.35%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-29 08:44 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -3.21%E -1.42%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -4.52%E -2.71%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-29 08:44 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.64%E -1.62%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.95%E -2.35%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-22 14:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.64%E -1.62%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.52%E -2.71%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-26 18:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.64%E -1.62%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.52%E -2.71%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-26 18:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.64%E -1.62%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.66%E -3.43%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-29 08:44 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.64%E -1.62%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.66%E -3.43%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-29 08:44 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -4.07%E -1.82%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -3.95%E -2.35%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-28 23:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -4.07%E -1.82%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -3.95%E -2.35%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-28 23:46 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -5.35%E -2.42%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -4.52%E -2.71%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-28 20:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.78%E -2.63%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.38%E -2.00%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-25 14:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.78%E -2.63%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.52%E -2.71%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-21 10:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.78%E -2.63%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.52%E -2.71%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-28 02:19 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.78%E -2.63%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.52%E -2.71%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-28 03:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.78%E -2.63%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.52%E -2.71%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-28 03:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.78%E -2.63%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.09%E -3.07%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-28 23:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.64%E -3.05%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.95%E -2.35%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-26 12:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.64%E -3.05%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.95%E -2.35%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-26 12:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.64%E -3.05%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.95%E -2.35%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-26 12:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.64%E -3.05%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.95%E -2.35%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-26 12:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.64%E -3.05%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.95%E -2.35%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-26 12:24 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.64%E -3.05%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.95%E -2.35%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-26 12:24 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.64%E -3.05%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.95%E -2.35%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-26 12:24 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.64%E -3.05%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.95%E -2.35%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-26 12:24 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.64%E -3.05%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.95%E -2.35%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-29 08:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.92%E -3.69%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -2.81%E -1.65%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 07:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.92%E -3.69%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -3.95%E -2.35%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-29 08:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.92%E -3.69%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.52%E -2.71%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-29 07:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 43.72%EV -11.78%E -5.72%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.28%EV -8.52%E -5.33%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-26 12:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.99%EV -13.49%E -6.68%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -1.66%E -0.966%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-29 08:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.79% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 57.21% | -0.1% | 2026-08-29 08:36 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54% | 0.5% | 2026-08-29 08:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54% | 0.5% | 2026-08-29 08:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49% | 0.5% | 2026-08-29 08:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.13% | 1.2% | 2026-08-29 08:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.29% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.71% | 2.6% | 2026-08-29 08:40 |
| Novig◎ | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18% | 8.6% | 2026-08-29 08:40 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 42.07% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.50% | 38.00I 2.63%NM 2.42% | 8.5% | 2026-08-28 21:50 |