Islam Makhachev v Kamaru Usman

2027-07-02 02:00 UTC — MMA

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Head to Head

1 sportsbook (1 in analysis )

74%

26%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Islam Makhachev (Local)

Prediction 74.00%1.35fair odd

EV -3.80%

Edge -2.92%

Kelly -12.67%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

74.00%74.00%74.00%74.00%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.301.301.301.3077%77%77%77%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Kamaru Usman (Visit)

Prediction 26.00%3.85fair odd

EV -3.80%

Edge -1.03%

Kelly -1.41%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

26.00%26.00%26.00%26.00%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

3.703.703.703.7027%27%27%27%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (1 sportsbook)

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
BetOnline.ag	1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -3.80%E -2.92%K -12.67%G +0.000%	3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -3.80%E -1.03%K -1.41%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-02-20 05:39

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.