The School of OddsIslam Makhachev v Kamaru Usman
Head to Head
1 bookmaker(s) offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Option 1: Islam Makhachev (Local)
Odds
1.3275.76%Min
1.3275.76%Mean
1.3275.76%Median
1.3275.76%Max
Consensus probabilities
72.61%1.377Min
72.61%1.377Max
72.61%1.377Mean
72.61%1.377Median
72.61%1.377IQM
72.61%1.377Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 1.32 under the IQM model: 72.61%
EV -4.15%Edge -3.14%Kelly -12.97%Growth +0.000%
Option 2: Kamaru Usman (Visit)
Odds
3.5028.57%Min
3.5028.57%Mean
3.5028.57%Median
3.5028.57%Max
Consensus probabilities
27.39%3.652Min
27.39%3.652Max
27.39%3.652Mean
27.39%3.652Median
27.39%3.652IQM
27.39%3.652Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 3.50 under the IQM model: 27.39%
EV -4.15%Edge -1.19%Kelly -1.66%Growth +0.000%
Sportsbook Odds (1 sportsbooks)
| Bookmaker | Islam Makhachev (Local) ▼ | Kamaru Usman (Visit) | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 1.32I 75.76% NM 72.61%EV -4.15% E -3.14% K -12.97% G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57% NM 27.39%EV -4.15% E -1.19% K -1.66% G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-20 05:39 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.13I 88.50% | 6.50I 15.38% | 70.00I 1.43% | 5.3% | 2026-02-22 01:40 |