The School of OddsIslam Makhachev v Ian Garry
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Head to Head
Islam Makhachev (Local)
Prediction 73.26%1.37fair odd
EV -2.57%
Edge -1.93%
Kelly -7.79%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.33
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
71.59%73.47%73.13%75.55%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.211.281.271.3383%78%78%75%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Ian Garry (Visit)
Prediction 26.74%3.74fair odd
EV +2.96%
Edge +0.770%
Kelly +1.04%
Growth +0.031%
assuming max odds 3.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.45%26.53%26.87%28.41%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.253.653.673.8531%27%27%26%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
1 bookmaker(s) offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (28 sportsbooks)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -8.43%E -6.74%K -33.72%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV +2.96%E +0.770%K +1.04%G +0.031% | 6.0% | 2026-06-18 13:00 |
| FanDuel | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -7.70%E -6.11%K -29.61%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV +1.63%E +0.428%K +0.581%G +0.009% | 5.7% | 2026-06-18 13:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -7.70%E -6.11%K -29.61%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV +1.63%E +0.428%K +0.581%G +0.009% | 5.7% | 2026-07-20 09:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -7.70%E -6.11%K -29.61%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV +1.63%E +0.428%K +0.581%G +0.009% | 5.7% | 2026-07-20 09:00 |
| TABtouch | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -7.70%E -6.11%K -29.61%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV +1.63%E +0.428%K +0.581%G +0.009% | 5.7% | 2026-07-20 09:00 |
| Unibet | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -7.70%E -6.11%K -29.61%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV +1.63%E +0.428%K +0.581%G +0.009% | 5.7% | 2026-07-20 09:00 |
| betPARX | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -7.70%E -6.11%K -29.61%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV +1.63%E +0.428%K +0.581%G +0.009% | 5.7% | 2026-07-20 09:00 |
| Bally Bet | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -7.70%E -6.11%K -29.61%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV +1.63%E +0.428%K +0.581%G +0.009% | 5.7% | 2026-07-20 09:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -7.70%E -6.11%K -29.61%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV +1.63%E +0.428%K +0.581%G +0.009% | 5.7% | 2026-07-20 09:00 |
| BetRivers | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -7.70%E -6.11%K -29.61%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV +1.63%E +0.428%K +0.581%G +0.009% | 5.7% | 2026-07-20 09:00 |
| Betsson | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.55%EV -9.90%E -8.04%K -43.02%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV +1.63%E +0.428%K +0.581%G +0.009% | 7.6% | 2026-07-13 13:59 |
| NordicBet | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.55%EV -9.90%E -8.04%K -43.02%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV +1.63%E +0.428%K +0.581%G +0.009% | 7.6% | 2026-07-13 13:59 |
| DraftKings | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.50%E -4.26%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV +0.290%E +0.077%K +0.105%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-06 11:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.23%E -4.87%K -22.26%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -1.05%E -0.283%K -0.388%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-19 03:20 |
| Grosvenor | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.10%EV -11.36%E -9.39%K -54.10%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -2.38%E -0.653%K -0.900%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-20 11:05 |
| 888sport | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.50%E -4.26%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -3.72%E -1.03%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-22 17:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.96%E -5.48%K -25.80%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -3.72%E -1.03%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-20 13:50 |
| TAB | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.77%E -3.67%K -15.89%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.06%E -1.43%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-25 11:44 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.77%E -3.67%K -15.89%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.06%E -1.43%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-22 17:09 |
| Pinnacle | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.78%EV -3.30%E -2.50%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.22%EV -5.59%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-22 03:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -2.57%E -1.93%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-19 17:05 |
| Coolbet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -2.57%E -1.93%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-21 13:50 |
| Paddy Power | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.50%E -4.26%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-18 12:49 |
| Caesars | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.50%E -4.26%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-06 16:22 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.50%E -4.26%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-27 18:10 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.50%E -4.26%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-22 17:09 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.35%EV -6.23%E -4.87%K -22.26%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.65%EV -10.41%E -3.11%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-20 14:06 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -5.50%E -4.26%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -13.08%E -4.03%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-22 16:09 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.20% | 3.91I 25.58%NM 23.96% | 33.00I 3.03%NM 2.84% | 6.7% | 2026-07-19 10:05 |