The School of OddsIslam Makhachev v Ian Garry
Head to Head
1 bookmaker(s) offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Option 1: Islam Makhachev (Local)
Odds
1.2083.33%Min
1.2679.45%Mean
1.2679.37%Median
1.3176.34%Max
Consensus probabilities
72.07%1.387Min
76.92%1.300Max
74.66%1.339Mean
74.40%1.344Median
74.66%1.339IQM
74.75%1.338Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 1.31 under the IQM model: 74.66%
EV -2.20%Edge -1.68%Kelly -7.10%Growth +0.000%
Option 2: Ian Garry (Visit)
Odds
3.2031.25%Min
3.8426.04%Mean
3.9525.32%Median
4.0025.00%Max
Consensus probabilities
23.08%4.333Min
27.93%3.581Max
25.34%3.947Mean
25.60%3.907Median
25.34%3.946IQM
25.25%3.961Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 4.00 under the IQM model: 25.34%
EV +1.38%Edge +0.345%Kelly +0.460%Growth +0.006%
Sportsbook Odds (26 sportsbooks)
| Bookmaker | Islam Makhachev (Local) | Ian Garry (Visit) ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.27I 78.74% NM 75.90%EV -5.19% E -4.08% K -19.21% G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00% NM 24.10%EV +1.38% E +0.345% K +0.460% G +0.006% | 3.7% | 2026-06-19 18:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.25I 80.00% NM 76.19%EV -6.68% E -5.34% K -26.72% G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00% NM 23.81%EV +1.38% E +0.345% K +0.460% G +0.006% | 5.0% | 2026-06-24 02:19 |
| Neds | 1.25I 80.00% NM 76.19%EV -6.68% E -5.34% K -26.72% G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00% NM 23.81%EV +1.38% E +0.345% K +0.460% G +0.006% | 5.0% | 2026-06-24 02:20 |
| Betsson | 1.20I 83.33% NM 76.92%EV -10.41% E -8.68% K -52.07% G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00% NM 23.08%EV +1.38% E +0.345% K +0.460% G +0.006% | 8.3% | 2026-06-20 23:49 |
| NordicBet | 1.20I 83.33% NM 76.92%EV -10.41% E -8.68% K -52.07% G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00% NM 23.08%EV +1.38% E +0.345% K +0.460% G +0.006% | 8.3% | 2026-06-20 23:49 |
| LeoVegas | 1.26I 79.37% NM 75.82%EV -5.93% E -4.71% K -22.82% G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32% NM 24.18%EV +0.112% E +0.028% K +0.038% G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-19 18:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.26I 79.37% NM 75.82%EV -5.93% E -4.71% K -22.82% G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32% NM 24.18%EV +0.112% E +0.028% K +0.038% G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-19 18:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.26I 79.37% NM 75.82%EV -5.93% E -4.71% K -22.82% G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32% NM 24.18%EV +0.112% E +0.028% K +0.038% G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-19 18:30 |
| TABtouch | 1.26I 79.37% NM 75.82%EV -5.93% E -4.71% K -22.82% G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32% NM 24.18%EV +0.112% E +0.028% K +0.038% G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-19 18:20 |
| Unibet | 1.26I 79.37% NM 75.82%EV -5.93% E -4.71% K -22.82% G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32% NM 24.18%EV +0.112% E +0.028% K +0.038% G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-19 18:30 |
| Grosvenor | 1.26I 79.37% NM 75.82%EV -5.93% E -4.71% K -22.82% G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32% NM 24.18%EV +0.112% E +0.028% K +0.038% G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-19 18:30 |
| betPARX | 1.26I 79.37% NM 75.82%EV -5.93% E -4.71% K -22.82% G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32% NM 24.18%EV +0.112% E +0.028% K +0.038% G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-27 11:59 |
| Bally Bet | 1.26I 79.37% NM 75.82%EV -5.93% E -4.71% K -22.82% G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32% NM 24.18%EV +0.112% E +0.028% K +0.038% G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-27 12:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.26I 79.37% NM 75.82%EV -5.93% E -4.71% K -22.82% G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32% NM 24.18%EV +0.112% E +0.028% K +0.038% G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-27 12:19 |
| Pinnacle | 1.27I 78.74% NM 75.62%EV -5.19% E -4.08% K -19.21% G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38% NM 24.38%EV -0.142% E -0.036% K -0.048% G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-29 03:40 |
| Coolbet | 1.27I 78.74% NM 75.44%EV -5.19% E -4.08% K -19.21% G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64% NM 24.56%EV -1.16% E -0.296% K -0.398% G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-29 15:10 |
| SportsBet | 1.25I 80.00% NM 75.49%EV -6.68% E -5.34% K -26.72% G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97% NM 24.51%EV -2.42% E -0.629% K -0.850% G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-18 13:00 |
| FanDuel | 1.26I 79.37% NM 75.10%EV -5.93% E -4.71% K -22.82% G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32% NM 24.90%EV -3.69% E -0.971% K -1.32% G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-18 13:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.31I 76.34% NM 74.11%EV -2.20% E -1.68% K -7.10% G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67% NM 25.89%EV -4.96% E -1.32% K -1.80% G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-07-03 01:24 |
| DraftKings | 1.29I 77.52% NM 74.40%EV -3.69% E -2.86% K -12.74% G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67% NM 25.60%EV -4.96% E -1.32% K -1.80% G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-20 03:29 |
| TAB | 1.27I 78.74% NM 74.70%EV -5.19% E -4.08% K -19.21% G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67% NM 25.30%EV -4.96% E -1.32% K -1.80% G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-24 22:40 |
| Caesars | 1.26I 79.37% NM 74.07%EV -5.93% E -4.71% K -22.82% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 25.93%EV -8.76% E -2.43% K -3.37% G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-20 02:47 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.25I 80.00% NM 74.23%EV -6.68% E -5.34% K -26.72% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 25.77%EV -8.76% E -2.43% K -3.37% G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-22 20:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.29I 77.52% NM 73.07%EV -3.69% E -2.86% K -12.74% G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57% NM 26.93%EV -11.29% E -3.23% K -4.52% G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-18 12:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.29I 77.52% NM 73.07%EV -3.69% E -2.86% K -12.74% G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57% NM 26.93%EV -11.29% E -3.23% K -4.52% G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-27 18:10 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.24I 80.65% NM 72.07%EV -7.43% E -5.99% K -30.95% G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25% NM 27.93%EV -18.90% E -5.91% K -8.59% G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-03 01:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.29I 77.52% | 3.83I 26.11% | 33.00I 3.03% | 6.7% | 2026-07-05 11:24 |