Islam Dulatov v Wellington Turman

2026-07-25 09:00 UTC — MMA

Head to Head

3 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

1 bookmaker(s) offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

85%

15%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Islam Dulatov (Local)

Prediction 84.53%1.18fair odd

EV -3.63%

Edge -3.19%

Kelly -25.94%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.14

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

84.03%84.53%84.53%85.03%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.101.111.101.1491%90%91%88%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Wellington Turman (Visit)

Prediction 15.47%6.47fair odd

EV -3.34%

Edge -0.534%

Kelly -0.635%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 6.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

14.97%15.47%15.47%15.97%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

6.006.176.256.2517%16%16%16%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (3 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
BetOnline.ag	1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -3.63%E -3.19%K -25.94%G +0.000%	6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -7.20%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-07-15 19:29
Betsson	1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -7.01%E -6.38%K -70.13%G +0.000%	6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -3.34%E -0.534%K -0.635%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-07-15 19:29
NordicBet	1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -7.01%E -6.38%K -70.13%G +0.000%	6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -3.34%E -0.534%K -0.635%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-07-15 19:29

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Polymarket	1.10I 90.91%NM 83.48%	5.56I 17.99%NM 16.52%	8.9%	2026-07-15 20:19

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

Bookmaker	Option 1	Option 2	Option 3	Margin ▲	Updated
1xBet	1.13I 88.50%NM 82.38%	6.29I 15.90%NM 14.80%	33.00I 3.03%NM 2.82%	7.4%	2026-07-15 20:20