Language:English
Ion Cutelaba v Oumar Sy
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Ion Cutelaba (Local)
Prediction 26.80%3.73fair odd
EV +9.61%
Edge +2.35%
Kelly +3.11%
Growth +0.299%
assuming max odds 4.09
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.41%27.01%26.68%31.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.503.404.0933.33%28.54%29.41%24.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Oumar Sy (Visit)
Prediction 73.20%1.37fair odd
EV +2.48%
Edge +1.77%
Kelly +6.21%
Growth +0.154%
assuming max odds 1.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.18%72.99%73.32%76.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.251.311.311.4080.00%76.47%76.34%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ion Cutelaba (Local): 26.80%; Oumar Sy (Visit): 73.20%. For Ion Cutelaba (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.73. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.09, corresponding to a positive expected value of +9.61%.
Sportsbook Odds (39 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS🎯 | 4.09I 24.45%NM 23.41%EV +9.61%E +2.35%K +3.11%G +0.299% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.59%EV -8.50%E -6.80%K -33.99%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-15 00:48 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +7.19%E +1.80%K +2.40%G +0.172% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -8.50%E -6.80%K -33.99%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-15 00:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +7.19%E +1.80%K +2.40%G +0.172% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -8.50%E -6.80%K -33.99%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-15 00:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.44%EV +1.30%E +0.343%K +0.467%G +0.006% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.56%EV -5.57%E -4.32%K -19.21%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-15 00:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV +0.494%E +0.132%K +0.180%G +0.001% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -6.30%E -4.92%K -22.51%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-15 00:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.29%EV -0.846%E -0.229%K -0.313%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.71%EV -3.37%E -2.56%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-03-15 00:44 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -2.19%E -0.599%K -0.825%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.57%E -4.32%K -19.21%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-15 00:49 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -2.19%E -0.599%K -0.825%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -8.50%E -6.80%K -33.99%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-15 00:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.52%EV -2.72%E -0.750%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.48%EV -4.11%E -3.13%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-15 00:48 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -3.53%E -0.979%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.11%E -3.13%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-15 00:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -3.53%E -0.979%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.11%E -3.13%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-15 00:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.53%E -0.979%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.84%E -3.72%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-15 00:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.53%E -0.979%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.84%E -3.72%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-15 00:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -4.87%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.84%E -3.72%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-15 00:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.86%EV -5.13%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.14%EV -4.84%E -3.72%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-15 00:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -6.21%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.11%E -3.13%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-15 00:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -6.21%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.11%E -3.13%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-15 00:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -8.89%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.37%E -2.56%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-15 00:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -8.89%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.37%E -2.56%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-15 00:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -8.89%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.37%E -2.56%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-15 00:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -8.89%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.37%E -2.56%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-15 00:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -8.89%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.37%E -2.56%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-15 00:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -8.89%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.37%E -2.56%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-15 00:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -8.89%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.37%E -2.56%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-15 00:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -8.89%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.37%E -2.56%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-15 00:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -8.89%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.37%E -2.56%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-15 00:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -8.89%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.37%E -2.56%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-15 00:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -8.89%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.37%E -2.56%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-15 00:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -8.89%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.37%E -2.56%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-15 00:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -8.89%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -4.11%E -3.13%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-15 00:47 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.89%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.84%E -3.72%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-15 00:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.89%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.84%E -3.72%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-15 00:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -8.89%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -6.30%E -4.92%K -22.51%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-15 00:47 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -10.23%E -3.05%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -4.11%E -3.13%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-15 00:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -11.57%E -3.50%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -1.18%E -0.872%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-15 00:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -11.57%E -3.50%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -1.18%E -0.872%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-15 00:49 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -11.57%E -3.50%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -4.84%E -3.72%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-15 00:46 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -12.91%E -3.97%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -2.64%E -1.99%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-15 00:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -19.60%E -6.53%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV +2.48%E +1.77%K +6.21%G +0.154% | 4.8% | 2026-03-15 00:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 3.92I 25.51%NM 25.48% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.52% | 0.1% | 2026-03-15 00:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79% | 0.7% | 2026-03-15 00:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79% | 0.7% | 2026-03-15 00:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32% | 1.2% | 2026-03-15 00:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.07% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.93% | 1.3% | 2026-03-15 00:50 |
| Novig◎ | 4.05I 24.69%NM 24.30% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.70% | 1.6% | 2026-03-15 00:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.14% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.86% | 2.0% | 2026-03-15 00:50 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.15% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.85% | 3.4% | 2026-03-15 00:50 |