Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ilias Bulaid v Erick Visconde

2026-10-13 22:00 UTC — MMA

Head to Head

3 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

54%

46%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ilias Bulaid (Local)

Prediction 54.20%1.85fair odd

EV -4.07%

Edge -2.30%

Kelly -5.29%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

53.95%54.20%54.26%54.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.751.761.771.7757.14%56.71%56.50%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Erick Visconde (Visit)

Prediction 45.80%2.18fair odd

EV -3.36%

Edge -1.59%

Kelly -3.02%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.11

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

45.62%45.80%45.74%46.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.052.092.102.1148.78%47.92%47.62%47.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Ilias Bulaid (Local): 54.20%; Erick Visconde (Visit): 45.80%. For Erick Visconde (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.18. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.11, with an expected value of -3.36%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (3 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
Pinnacle🎯	1.77I 56.50%NM 54.38%EV -4.07%E -2.30%K -5.29%G +0.000%	2.11I 47.39%NM 45.62%EV -3.36%E -1.59%K -3.02%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-10-11 13:50
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.07%E -2.30%K -5.29%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.81%E -1.82%K -3.47%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-10-11 12:14
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.15%E -2.95%K -6.87%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.10%E -2.98%K -5.81%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-10-11 13:50

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Polymarket◎	1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%	2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%	1.2%	2026-10-11 13:24
Novig◎	1.71I 58.48%NM 54.40%	2.04I 49.02%NM 45.60%	7.5%	2026-10-11 13:39