Ilia Topuria v Arman Tsarukyan

2026-08-02 03:10 — MMA

Head to Head

1 sportsbooks (1 in analysis)

Option 1: Ilia Topuria (Local)

Odds

1.5365.36%Min

1.5365.36%Mean

1.5365.36%Median

1.5365.36%Max

Consensus probabilities

63.40%1.577Min

63.40%1.577Max

63.40%1.577Mean

63.40%1.577Median

63.40%1.577IQM

63.40%1.577Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.53 under the IQM model: 63.40%

EV -3.00%Edge -1.96%Kelly -5.66%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Arman Tsarukyan (Visit)

Odds

2.6537.74%Min

2.6537.74%Mean

2.6537.74%Median

2.6537.74%Max

Consensus probabilities

36.60%2.732Min

36.60%2.732Max

36.60%2.732Mean

36.60%2.732Median

36.60%2.732IQM

36.60%2.732Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.65 under the IQM model: 36.60%

EV -3.00%Edge -1.13%Kelly -1.82%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (1 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Ilia Topuria (Local) ▼	Arman Tsarukyan (Visit)	Margin	Updated
BetOnline.ag	1.53I 65.36% NM 63.40%EV -3.00% E -1.96% K -5.66% G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74% NM 36.60%EV -3.00% E -1.13% K -1.82% G +0.000%	3.1%	2026-02-20 05:39

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth