Language:English
Hyder Amil v Christian Rodriguez
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Hyder Amil (Local)
Prediction 33.29%3.00fair odd
EV +1.54%
Edge +0.505%
Kelly +0.752%
Growth +0.012%
assuming max odds 3.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.77%33.47%33.41%37.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.802.773.0540.00%35.72%36.10%32.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Christian Rodriguez (Visit)
Prediction 66.71%1.50fair odd
EV +0.062%
Edge +0.041%
Kelly +0.123%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.87%66.53%66.59%68.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.431.431.5073.53%69.87%69.93%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hyder Amil (Local): 33.29%; Christian Rodriguez (Visit): 66.71%. For Hyder Amil (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.00. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.05, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.54%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV +1.54%E +0.505%K +0.752%G +0.012% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -5.28%E -3.71%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-06-21 01:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.99%EV +1.21%E +0.398%K +0.592%G +0.007% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.01%EV -4.61%E -3.22%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-06-21 01:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -0.123%E -0.041%K -0.062%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -5.28%E -3.71%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-21 01:01 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.27%EV -0.789%E -0.265%K -0.398%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.73%EV -5.28%E -3.71%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-21 01:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -1.79%E -0.606%K -0.917%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.61%E -4.72%K -16.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-21 01:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -1.79%E -0.606%K -0.917%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.61%E -4.72%K -16.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-21 01:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -1.79%E -0.606%K -0.917%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.61%E -4.72%K -16.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-21 01:09 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -1.79%E -0.606%K -0.917%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.61%E -4.72%K -16.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-21 01:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -3.45%E -1.19%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.28%E -3.71%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-21 01:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -5.12%E -1.80%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.94%E -2.74%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-20 20:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -5.12%E -1.80%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.94%E -2.74%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-20 20:19 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -5.12%E -1.80%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.28%E -3.71%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-20 20:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -5.45%E -1.92%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -3.27%E -2.26%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-20 20:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.80%EV -6.12%E -2.17%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.20%EV -3.94%E -2.74%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-20 20:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.78%E -2.42%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.61%E -4.72%K -16.52%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-21 01:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -6.78%E -2.42%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -7.94%E -5.76%K -20.90%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-21 01:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.59%EV -7.45%E -2.68%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.41%EV -1.94%E -1.32%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-20 21:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.77I 36.10%NM 33.41%EV -7.78%E -2.81%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 66.59%EV -7.28%E -5.23%K -18.66%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-20 19:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -8.45%E -3.07%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -2.61%E -1.79%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-20 23:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -8.45%E -3.07%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -2.61%E -1.79%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-20 23:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -8.45%E -3.07%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.27%E -2.26%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-21 01:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -8.45%E -3.07%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.27%E -2.26%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-20 23:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -8.45%E -3.07%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.27%E -2.26%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-20 23:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -8.45%E -3.07%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.27%E -2.26%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-20 23:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.45%E -3.07%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.94%E -2.74%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-20 20:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.45%E -3.07%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.94%E -2.74%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-21 00:09 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -8.45%E -3.07%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -4.61%E -3.22%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-20 22:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.45%E -3.07%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.61%E -4.72%K -16.52%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-21 01:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.31%EV -9.11%E -3.34%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.69%EV -0.605%E -0.406%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-21 01:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -10.11%E -3.74%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.27%E -2.26%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-21 01:08 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -11.78%E -4.44%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -1.94%E -1.32%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-20 20:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.22%EV -12.44%E -4.73%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.78%EV -4.61%E -3.22%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-21 01:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -13.44%E -5.17%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%EV -5.28%E -3.71%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-21 01:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -15.44%E -6.08%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV +0.062%E +0.041%K +0.123%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-21 01:09 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.23%EV -16.77%E -6.71%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.77%EV -9.28%E -6.82%K -25.77%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-06-21 01:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.69% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 65.31% | 0.1% | 2026-06-21 00:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13% | 1.2% | 2026-06-21 01:10 |
| Novig◎ | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.37% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.63% | 2.0% | 2026-06-21 01:09 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.37% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.63% | 2.0% | 2026-06-21 01:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.07% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.93% | 2.2% | 2026-06-21 01:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.43% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.57% | 2.8% | 2026-06-21 01:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72% | 3.3% | 2026-06-21 01:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.58% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.42% | 4.9% | 2026-06-21 01:10 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.64% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.49% | 50.00I 2.00%NM 1.87% | 6.7% | 2026-06-20 22:19 |