Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hilarie Rose v Bruna Ellen

2026-10-23 22:30 UTC — MMA

Head to Head

3 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

37%

63%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hilarie Rose (Local)

Prediction 36.60%2.73fair odd

EV -3.00%

Edge -1.13%

Kelly -1.82%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

36.60%36.60%36.60%41.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.252.382.252.6544.44%41.96%44.44%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Bruna Ellen (Visit)

Prediction 63.40%1.58fair odd

EV -0.467%

Edge -0.297%

Kelly -0.818%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.57

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

58.90%63.40%63.40%63.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.531.551.561.5765.36%64.38%64.10%63.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Hilarie Rose (Local): 36.60%; Bruna Ellen (Visit): 63.40%. For Bruna Ellen (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.58. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.57, with an expected value of -0.467%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (3 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
BetOnline.ag🎯	2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -3.00%E -1.13%K -1.82%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -3.00%E -1.96%K -5.66%G +0.000%	3.1%	2026-10-23 07:15
Unibet🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -17.64%E -7.84%K -14.11%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -0.467%E -0.297%K -0.818%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-10-23 07:09
Grosvenor🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -17.64%E -7.84%K -14.11%G +0.000%	1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -1.10%E -0.705%K -1.97%G +0.000%	8.5%	2026-10-23 07:10

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.