Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Herbeth Sousa v Paulo Portillo

2026-08-01 02:00 UTC — MMA

Head to Head

3 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

66%

34%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Herbeth Sousa (Local)

Prediction 65.88%1.52fair odd

EV -4.47%

Edge -3.08%

Kelly -9.93%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

64.79%65.88%65.88%65.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.431.441.441.4569.93%69.44%69.44%68.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Paulo Portillo (Visit)

Prediction 34.12%2.93fair odd

EV -4.47%

Edge -1.60%

Kelly -2.48%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

34.12%34.12%34.12%35.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.652.702.652.8037.74%37.04%37.74%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sportsbook Odds (3 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
BetOnline.ag	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.47%E -3.08%K -9.93%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.47%E -1.60%K -2.48%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-07-30 16:14
Unibet	1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -5.13%E -3.56%K -11.66%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -9.59%E -3.62%K -5.81%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-07-30 13:30
Grosvenor	1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -5.79%E -4.05%K -13.46%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -9.59%E -3.62%K -5.81%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-07-30 13:29

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.