Language:English
Gokhan Saricam v Tanner Boser
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Gokhan Saricam (Local)
Prediction 57.54%1.74fair odd
EV -1.61%
Edge -0.943%
Kelly -2.27%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.71
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.12%57.51%57.47%58.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.611.661.651.7162.11%60.20%60.61%58.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Tanner Boser (Visit)
Prediction 42.46%2.35fair odd
EV -2.33%
Edge -1.01%
Kelly -1.79%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.18%42.49%42.53%44.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.242.232.3047.62%44.73%44.84%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Gokhan Saricam (Local): 57.54%; Tanner Boser (Visit): 42.46%. For Gokhan Saricam (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.74. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.71, with an expected value of -1.61%; they did not produce positive expected value.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.71%EV -1.61%E -0.943%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.29%EV -4.88%E -2.18%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-18 21:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.38%EV -1.61%E -0.943%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.62%EV -6.15%E -2.78%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-18 22:35 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -1.61%E -0.943%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -10.83%E -5.16%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-18 22:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.19%E -1.29%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -6.58%E -2.99%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-18 19:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.76%E -1.64%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.46%E -1.98%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-18 22:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -2.76%E -1.64%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -5.73%E -2.58%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-18 22:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.34%E -1.99%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.58%E -2.99%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-18 20:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.91%E -2.34%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.46%E -1.98%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-16 19:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.91%E -2.34%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.58%E -2.99%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 13:49 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.91%E -2.34%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.58%E -2.99%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-17 22:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.91%E -2.34%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.58%E -2.99%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 13:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.91%E -2.34%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.58%E -2.99%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 19:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.91%E -2.34%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.58%E -2.99%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 14:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -4.49%E -2.70%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -3.18%E -1.40%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-18 14:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.49%E -2.70%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -6.58%E -2.99%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-18 21:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.07%E -3.07%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.33%E -1.01%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-18 16:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.07%E -3.07%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.33%E -1.01%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-18 16:44 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.07%E -3.07%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.33%E -1.01%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-18 18:08 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.07%E -3.07%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.33%E -1.01%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-13 16:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.07%E -3.07%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.46%E -1.98%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-18 14:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.07%E -3.07%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.46%E -1.98%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-16 19:04 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.07%E -3.07%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.46%E -1.98%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-16 19:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.07%E -3.07%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.46%E -1.98%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-18 21:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.07%E -3.07%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -5.31%E -2.38%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-18 21:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.07%E -3.07%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -5.31%E -2.38%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-18 21:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.07%E -3.07%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -5.31%E -2.38%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-18 21:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.07%E -3.07%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -5.31%E -2.38%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-18 21:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.07%E -3.07%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -5.31%E -2.38%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-18 21:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.07%E -3.07%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -5.31%E -2.38%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-18 21:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.07%E -3.07%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -5.31%E -2.38%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-18 21:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.07%E -3.07%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -5.31%E -2.38%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-18 21:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.07%E -3.07%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -5.31%E -2.38%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-18 21:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.07%E -3.07%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -5.31%E -2.38%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-18 21:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.07%E -3.07%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -5.31%E -2.38%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-18 21:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.07%E -3.07%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -5.31%E -2.38%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-18 21:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.79%E -4.19%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.33%E -1.01%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-13 16:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -7.37%E -4.58%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -2.33%E -1.01%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-16 17:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.86% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 43.14% | -0.1% | 2026-04-18 22:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81% | 0.5% | 2026-04-18 22:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01% | 0.9% | 2026-04-18 22:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01% | 0.9% | 2026-04-18 22:45 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01% | 0.9% | 2026-04-18 22:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36% | 0.9% | 2026-04-18 22:20 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.1% | 2026-04-18 22:45 |
| Novig◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.72% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.28% | 1.3% | 2026-04-18 22:40 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.50% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 42.07% | 38.00I 2.63%NM 2.42% | 8.5% | 2026-04-18 12:30 |