Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Giovanna Canuto v Carol Foro

Kickoff: 2026-08-08 21:13 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

32 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

35%

65%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Giovanna Canuto (Local)

Prediction 35.13%2.85fair odd

EV +5.39%

Edge +1.80%

Kelly +2.69%

Growth +0.145%

assuming max odds 3.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

31.51%35.10%34.99%36.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.502.712.703.0040.00%36.87%37.04%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Carol Foro (Visit)

Prediction 64.87%1.54fair odd

EV -0.747%

Edge -0.488%

Kelly -1.41%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

63.41%64.90%65.01%68.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.381.471.481.5372.46%68.17%67.80%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Giovanna Canuto (Local): 35.13%; Carol Foro (Visit): 64.87%. For Giovanna Canuto (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.85. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.39%.

1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (32 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
TAB🎯	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV +5.39%E +1.80%K +2.69%G +0.145%	1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -10.48%E -7.59%K -27.57%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-08 00:39
Coolbet🎯	2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV +1.87%E +0.646%K +0.986%G +0.018%	1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -7.23%E -5.06%K -16.82%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-08-08 17:54
SportsBet🎯	2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV +0.468%E +0.164%K +0.251%G +0.001%	1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -7.23%E -5.06%K -16.82%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-08-08 21:05
Bovada🎯	2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -1.64%E -0.586%K -0.911%G +0.000%	1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -4.64%E -3.16%K -9.87%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-08-08 19:58
Betsson🎯	2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -1.64%E -0.586%K -0.911%G +0.000%	1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -5.29%E -3.62%K -11.50%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-08-08 21:05
NordicBet🎯	2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -1.64%E -0.586%K -0.911%G +0.000%	1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -5.29%E -3.62%K -11.50%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-08-08 21:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -1.64%E -0.586%K -0.911%G +0.000%	1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.59%E -4.57%K -14.97%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-08-08 14:24
PlayUp🎯	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -1.64%E -0.586%K -0.911%G +0.000%	1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.88%E -5.55%K -18.77%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-08-08 18:05
Betr (AU)🎯	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -1.64%E -0.586%K -0.911%G +0.000%	1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.88%E -5.55%K -18.77%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-08-08 17:55
BetOnline.ag🎯	2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV -2.69%E -0.972%K -1.52%G +0.000%	1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -3.34%E -2.24%K -6.82%G +0.000%	3.2%	2026-08-08 20:59
Caesars🎯	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.40%E -1.24%K -1.94%G +0.000%	1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.99%E -2.70%K -8.31%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-08-08 20:19
888sport🎯	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.40%E -1.24%K -1.94%G +0.000%	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.94%E -4.09%K -13.19%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-08 21:04
Paddy Power🎯	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.40%E -1.24%K -1.94%G +0.000%	1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.59%E -4.57%K -14.97%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-08 21:00
Betway🎯	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.40%E -1.24%K -1.94%G +0.000%	1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.59%E -4.57%K -14.97%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-08 19:09
BetUS🎯	2.74I 36.50%NM 35.07%EV -3.75%E -1.37%K -2.15%G +0.000%	1.48I 67.57%NM 64.93%EV -3.99%E -2.70%K -8.31%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-08-08 21:00
BetAnything🎯	2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -5.15%E -1.91%K -3.03%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -2.69%E -1.80%K -5.39%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-08-08 20:59
Unibet (UK)🎯	2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.15%E -1.91%K -3.03%G +0.000%	1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.99%E -2.70%K -8.31%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-08-08 21:05
Bet Right🎯	2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.15%E -1.91%K -3.03%G +0.000%	1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.64%E -3.16%K -9.87%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-08 20:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯	2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.15%E -1.91%K -3.03%G +0.000%	1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.64%E -3.16%K -9.87%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-08 21:04
Fliff🎯	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -5.15%E -1.91%K -3.03%G +0.000%	1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.59%E -4.57%K -14.97%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-08-08 21:04
Pinnacle🎯	2.67I 37.45%NM 36.43%EV -6.21%E -2.32%K -3.72%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 63.57%EV -0.747%E -0.488%K -1.41%G +0.000%	2.8%	2026-08-08 21:00
DraftKings🎯	2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -7.26%E -2.75%K -4.43%G +0.000%	1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -2.04%E -1.35%K -4.01%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-08-08 21:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.67%E -3.33%K -5.42%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.69%E -1.80%K -5.39%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-08 21:00
BetRivers🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -8.67%E -3.33%K -5.42%G +0.000%	1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -3.34%E -2.24%K -6.82%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-08-08 21:00
Virgin Bet🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -8.67%E -3.33%K -5.42%G +0.000%	1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -3.34%E -2.24%K -6.82%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-08-08 21:00
TABtouch🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -8.67%E -3.33%K -5.42%G +0.000%	1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -3.34%E -2.24%K -6.82%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-08-08 20:59
LiveScore Bet🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -8.67%E -3.33%K -5.42%G +0.000%	1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -3.34%E -2.24%K -6.82%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-08-08 20:59
Unibet🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -8.67%E -3.33%K -5.42%G +0.000%	1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -3.34%E -2.24%K -6.82%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-08-08 21:00
Bally Bet🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -8.67%E -3.33%K -5.42%G +0.000%	1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -3.34%E -2.24%K -6.82%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-08-08 21:00
ATG (SE)🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -8.67%E -3.33%K -5.42%G +0.000%	1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -3.34%E -2.24%K -6.82%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-08-08 20:59
betPARX🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -8.67%E -3.33%K -5.42%G +0.000%	1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -3.34%E -2.24%K -6.82%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-08-08 21:00
Grosvenor🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 36.39%EV -12.18%E -4.87%K -8.12%G +0.000%	1.43I 69.93%NM 63.61%EV -7.23%E -5.06%K -16.82%G +0.000%	9.9%	2026-08-08 20:59

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎	2.86I 34.97%NM 34.85%	1.53I 65.36%NM 65.15%	0.3%	2026-08-08 21:05
Novig◎	2.82I 35.46%NM 35.32%	1.54I 64.94%NM 64.68%	0.4%	2026-08-08 21:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	2.84I 35.21%NM 34.86%	1.52I 65.79%NM 65.14%	1.0%	2026-08-08 21:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	2.84I 35.21%NM 34.86%	1.52I 65.79%NM 65.14%	1.0%	2026-08-08 21:05
Matchbook◎	2.84I 35.21%NM 34.86%	1.52I 65.79%NM 65.14%	1.0%	2026-08-08 21:05
ProphetX◎	2.74I 36.50%NM 35.98%	1.54I 64.94%NM 64.02%	1.4%	2026-08-08 21:05
Kalshi◎	2.78I 35.97%NM 35.35%	1.52I 65.79%NM 64.65%	1.8%	2026-08-08 21:05

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

Bookmaker	Option 1	Option 2	Option 3	Margin ▲	Updated
1xBet🎯	2.89I 34.60%NM 32.03%	1.40I 71.43%NM 66.12%	50.00I 2.00%NM 1.85%	8.0%	2026-08-08 19:45