Language:English
Giga Chikadze v Joanderson Brito
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Giga Chikadze (Local)
Prediction 21.80%4.59fair odd
EV +0.274%
Edge +0.060%
Kelly +0.076%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.83%21.82%21.85%24.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.804.294.304.6026.32%23.33%23.26%21.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Joanderson Brito (Visit)
Prediction 78.20%1.28fair odd
EV -2.25%
Edge -1.80%
Kelly -8.99%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
75.70%78.18%78.15%79.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.121.221.221.2589.29%82.23%81.97%80.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Giga Chikadze (Local): 21.80%; Joanderson Brito (Visit): 78.20%. For Giga Chikadze (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.59. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.274%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV +0.274%E +0.060%K +0.076%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -5.38%E -4.44%K -25.60%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.52I 22.12%NM 21.53%EV -1.47%E -0.325%K -0.418%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.47%EV -3.03%E -2.44%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-09-19 21:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -1.91%E -0.424%K -0.545%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.59%E -3.77%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-19 21:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.91%E -0.424%K -0.545%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.16%E -5.13%K -30.79%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.91%E -0.424%K -0.545%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.16%E -5.13%K -30.79%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-19 21:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -4.09%E -0.929%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -3.81%E -3.10%K -16.58%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-19 21:34 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -4.09%E -0.929%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -3.81%E -3.10%K -16.58%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-19 21:19 |
| ReBet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -4.09%E -0.929%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -3.81%E -3.10%K -16.58%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-19 21:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -4.09%E -0.929%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -3.81%E -3.10%K -16.58%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-19 14:02 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -4.09%E -0.929%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.59%E -3.77%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-19 14:51 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.04%EV -5.18%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.96%EV -3.81%E -3.10%K -16.58%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-19 16:16 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.18%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.59%E -3.77%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -5.18%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -5.38%E -4.44%K -25.60%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-19 14:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.27%E -1.46%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.59%E -3.77%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-19 21:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -6.27%E -1.46%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.38%E -4.44%K -25.60%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-19 21:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -6.27%E -1.46%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.38%E -4.44%K -25.60%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-19 21:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -6.27%E -1.46%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.38%E -4.44%K -25.60%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-19 21:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -6.27%E -1.46%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.38%E -4.44%K -25.60%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-19 21:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -6.27%E -1.46%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.38%E -4.44%K -25.60%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-19 21:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -6.27%E -1.46%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.38%E -4.44%K -25.60%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-19 21:19 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -6.27%E -1.46%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.38%E -4.44%K -25.60%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-19 21:18 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -6.27%E -1.46%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.38%E -4.44%K -25.60%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-19 21:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -6.27%E -1.46%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.38%E -4.44%K -25.60%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-19 21:24 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -7.36%E -1.73%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.81%E -3.10%K -16.58%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-19 20:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.36%E -1.73%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.59%E -3.77%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-19 21:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -7.36%E -1.73%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.38%E -4.44%K -25.60%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-19 21:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.15%EV -9.54%E -2.30%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.85%EV -2.25%E -1.80%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-15 22:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -10.63%E -2.59%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.03%E -2.44%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-17 23:04 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -10.63%E -2.59%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -4.59%E -3.77%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-18 10:54 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.81%E -3.20%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.59%E -3.77%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-19 14:02 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.81%E -3.20%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.59%E -3.77%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-19 14:02 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.54%EV -16.08%E -4.18%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 77.46%EV -12.41%E -11.08%K -103.45%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-09-19 21:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -17.16%E -4.52%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -4.59%E -3.77%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-19 21:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 4.86I 20.58%NM 20.59% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 79.41% | -0.1% | 2026-09-19 21:29 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86% | 0.6% | 2026-09-19 21:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86% | 0.6% | 2026-09-19 21:35 |
| Kalshi◎ | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.82% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18% | 0.7% | 2026-09-19 21:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.50% | 1.1% | 2026-09-19 21:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.50% | 1.1% | 2026-09-19 21:29 |
| Novig◎ | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.55% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.45% | 2.0% | 2026-09-19 21:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.48% | 3.3% | 2026-09-19 21:40 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.09I 24.45%NM 22.69% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.45% | 50.00I 2.00%NM 1.86% | 7.8% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |