Language:English
Gerald Meerschaert v Jacob Malkoun
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Gerald Meerschaert (Local)
Prediction 10.38%9.63fair odd
EV +14.22%
Edge +1.29%
Kelly +1.42%
Growth +0.202%
assuming max odds 11.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
8.64%10.49%10.54%13.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.009.089.0011.0014.29%11.02%11.11%9.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Jacob Malkoun (Visit)
Prediction 89.62%1.12fair odd
EV -3.21%
Edge -2.98%
Kelly -40.18%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.08
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
86.74%89.51%89.46%91.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.031.061.061.0897.09%94.64%94.34%92.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Gerald Meerschaert (Local): 10.38%; Jacob Malkoun (Visit): 89.62%. For Gerald Meerschaert (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 9.63. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 11.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +14.22%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +14.22%E +1.29%K +1.42%G +0.202% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.80%E -6.54%K -169.97%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-01 17:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +14.22%E +1.29%K +1.42%G +0.202% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.80%E -6.54%K -169.97%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-01 17:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.17%EV +9.03%E +0.860%K +0.950%G +0.086% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.83%EV -5.01%E -4.72%K -83.44%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-02 09:01 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV +9.03%E +0.860%K +0.950%G +0.086% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -7.70%E -7.47%K -256.50%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-02 10:11 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 10.20I 9.80%NM 9.41%EV +5.91%E +0.580%K +0.643%G +0.038% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.59%EV -5.01%E -4.72%K -83.44%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-02 10:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 10.17I 9.83%NM 9.52%EV +5.60%E +0.551%K +0.611%G +0.034% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.48%EV -4.11%E -3.84%K -58.72%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-01 20:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +3.84%E +0.384%K +0.426%G +0.016% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -5.01%E -4.72%K -83.44%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-01 17:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV +3.84%E +0.384%K +0.426%G +0.016% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -7.70%E -7.47%K -256.50%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-02 09:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 9.65I 10.36%NM 9.90%EV +0.202%E +0.021%K +0.023%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.10%EV -5.01%E -4.72%K -83.44%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-02 09:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV -1.36%E -0.143%K -0.160%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -4.11%E -3.84%K -58.72%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-02 09:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -1.36%E -0.143%K -0.160%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -5.01%E -4.72%K -83.44%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-02 09:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -1.36%E -0.143%K -0.160%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -5.90%E -5.62%K -118.06%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-01 20:44 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -1.36%E -0.143%K -0.160%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -5.90%E -5.62%K -118.06%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-02 10:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -1.36%E -0.143%K -0.160%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -5.90%E -5.62%K -118.06%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-02 10:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -1.36%E -0.143%K -0.160%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -5.90%E -5.62%K -118.06%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-02 10:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -1.36%E -0.143%K -0.160%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -5.90%E -5.62%K -118.06%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-02 10:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -1.36%E -0.143%K -0.160%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -5.90%E -5.62%K -118.06%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-02 10:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -1.36%E -0.143%K -0.160%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -5.90%E -5.62%K -118.06%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-02 10:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -6.55%E -0.728%K -0.818%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.11%E -3.84%K -58.72%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-01 20:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -6.55%E -0.728%K -0.818%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.11%E -3.84%K -58.72%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-02 09:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -6.55%E -0.728%K -0.818%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.01%E -4.72%K -83.44%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-02 10:11 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -6.55%E -0.728%K -0.818%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.01%E -4.72%K -83.44%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-02 10:11 |
| Betsson🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -6.55%E -0.728%K -0.818%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.01%E -4.72%K -83.44%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-02 10:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -6.55%E -0.728%K -0.818%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.01%E -4.72%K -83.44%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-02 10:11 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -6.55%E -0.728%K -0.818%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.01%E -4.72%K -83.44%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-02 10:11 |
| Fliff🎯 | 8.85I 11.30%NM 10.61%EV -8.11%E -0.916%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.39%EV -5.90%E -5.62%K -118.06%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-02 10:11 |
| TAB🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -11.74%E -1.38%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.11%E -3.84%K -58.72%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-02 03:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -11.74%E -1.38%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.01%E -4.72%K -83.44%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-01 17:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -11.74%E -1.38%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.01%E -4.72%K -83.44%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-02 10:11 |
| Bovada🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -11.74%E -1.38%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.01%E -4.72%K -83.44%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-02 10:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -11.74%E -1.38%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -5.90%E -5.62%K -118.06%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-02 10:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -11.74%E -1.38%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -5.90%E -5.62%K -118.06%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-02 10:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -11.74%E -1.38%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -5.90%E -5.62%K -118.06%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-02 10:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -11.74%E -1.38%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -5.90%E -5.62%K -118.06%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-02 10:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 8.10I 12.35%NM 11.38%EV -15.89%E -1.96%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 88.62%EV -6.80%E -6.54%K -169.97%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 09:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -16.93%E -2.12%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.21%E -2.98%K -40.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -16.93%E -2.12%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 88.50%EV -6.80%E -6.54%K -169.97%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-02 10:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 7.65I 13.07%NM 12.17%EV -20.57%E -2.69%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.83%EV -5.01%E -4.72%K -83.44%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-02 09:57 |
| William Hill🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -22.12%E -2.95%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.21%E -2.98%K -40.18%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-01 00:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -22.12%E -2.95%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.21%E -2.98%K -40.18%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-02 10:08 |
| Betway🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -27.31%E -3.90%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -4.11%E -3.84%K -58.72%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-02 10:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.41% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 92.59% | -0.0% | 2026-05-02 00:54 |
| ProphetX◎ | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.89% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 92.11% | 1.5% | 2026-05-02 09:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.68% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 89.32% | 1.8% | 2026-05-02 10:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.51% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.49% | 3.5% | 2026-05-02 10:11 |
| Kalshi◎ | 7.69I 13.00%NM 12.51% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.49% | 3.9% | 2026-05-02 10:11 |
| Matchbook◎ | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03% | 4.4% | 2026-05-02 09:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.44% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.56% | 5.8% | 2026-05-02 10:11 |
| Novig◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 24.69% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 75.31% | 32.8% | 2026-05-02 10:10 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 8.70I 11.49%NM 10.48% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 87.69% | 50.00I 2.00%NM 1.82% | 9.6% | 2026-05-02 09:10 |