Language:English
Gauge Young v Stan Dorsainvil
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Gauge Young (Local)
Prediction 62.42%1.60fair odd
EV +1.12%
Edge +0.694%
Kelly +1.81%
Growth +0.020%
assuming max odds 1.62
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.19%62.22%62.25%63.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.531.531.6269.44%65.28%65.36%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Stan Dorsainvil (Visit)
Prediction 37.58%2.66fair odd
EV -0.419%
Edge -0.158%
Kelly -0.254%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.30%37.78%37.75%40.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.522.542.6542.55%39.62%39.37%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Gauge Young (Local): 62.42%; Stan Dorsainvil (Visit): 37.58%. For Gauge Young (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.60. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.62, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.12%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (32 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betsson🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV +1.12%E +0.694%K +1.81%G +0.020% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -11.69%E -4.98%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-20 19:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV +1.12%E +0.694%K +1.81%G +0.020% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -11.69%E -4.98%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-20 19:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.80%EV -2.00%E -1.27%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.20%EV -4.55%E -1.79%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-22 21:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.04%EV -2.00%E -1.27%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.96%EV -7.56%E -3.07%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-22 21:49 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.48%EV -2.62%E -1.68%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.52%EV -6.43%E -2.58%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-22 19:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.25%E -2.09%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.93%E -3.24%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-22 19:44 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.07%EV -3.87%E -2.51%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.93%EV -1.17%E -0.445%K -0.718%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-22 19:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -3.87%E -2.51%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -4.55%E -1.79%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-22 21:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.87%E -2.51%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -6.06%E -2.42%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-22 19:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.87%E -2.51%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.81%E -2.74%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-22 19:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -4.49%E -2.94%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -1.17%E -0.445%K -0.718%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-22 21:44 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.49%E -2.94%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.30%E -0.884%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-22 21:45 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.49%E -2.94%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.30%E -0.884%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-22 21:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.49%E -2.94%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.06%E -2.42%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-22 19:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.49%E -2.94%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.06%E -2.42%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-22 19:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.49%E -2.94%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.06%E -2.42%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-22 19:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.49%E -2.94%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.06%E -2.42%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-22 18:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.49%E -2.94%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.06%E -2.42%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-22 20:24 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.49%E -2.94%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.06%E -2.42%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-22 19:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.29%EV -5.12%E -3.37%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.71%EV -1.55%E -0.590%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-22 19:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.12%E -3.37%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.18%E -1.64%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-22 19:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.12%E -3.37%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.18%E -1.64%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-22 19:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.12%E -3.37%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.18%E -1.64%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-22 19:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.12%E -3.37%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.06%E -2.42%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-22 19:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -5.74%E -3.80%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -0.419%E -0.158%K -0.254%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-22 20:52 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.74%E -3.80%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.18%E -1.64%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-22 19:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.74%E -3.80%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.18%E -1.64%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-22 19:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.74%E -3.80%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.18%E -1.64%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-22 19:24 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.74%E -3.80%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.18%E -1.64%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-22 19:24 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.74%E -3.80%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.18%E -1.64%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-22 19:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.33%EV -6.37%E -4.24%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.67%EV -2.67%E -1.03%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-22 21:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.30%EV -10.11%E -7.02%K -22.98%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.70%EV -10.57%E -4.44%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-22 19:24 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 62.12% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.88% | -0.0% | 2026-08-22 20:59 |
| Novig◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.68% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 37.32% | 0.3% | 2026-08-22 21:50 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01% | 0.6% | 2026-08-22 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77% | 0.7% | 2026-08-22 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62% | 1.1% | 2026-08-22 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62% | 1.1% | 2026-08-22 21:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62% | 1.1% | 2026-08-22 21:50 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.54% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 38.61% | 50.00I 2.00%NM 1.85% | 8.4% | 2026-08-22 19:29 |