Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Gauge Young v Stan Dorsainvil

2026-08-22 21:00 UTC — MMA

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

57%

43%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Gauge Young (Local)

Prediction 56.85%1.76fair odd

EV -5.06%

Edge -3.03%

Kelly -7.56%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

56.85%56.85%56.85%56.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.571.661.671.6763.69%60.24%59.88%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Stan Dorsainvil (Visit)

Prediction 43.15%2.32fair odd

EV -5.06%

Edge -2.30%

Kelly -4.22%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

43.01%43.15%43.15%43.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.082.192.202.2048.08%45.70%45.45%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Gauge Young (Local): 56.85%; Stan Dorsainvil (Visit): 43.15%. For Stan Dorsainvil (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.32. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.20, with an expected value of -5.06%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
Unibet🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.06%E -3.03%K -7.56%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.06%E -2.30%K -4.22%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-17 05:04
LiveScore Bet🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.06%E -3.03%K -7.56%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.06%E -2.30%K -4.22%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-17 05:04
Virgin Bet🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.06%E -3.03%K -7.56%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.06%E -2.30%K -4.22%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-17 05:04
BetRivers🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.06%E -3.03%K -7.56%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.06%E -2.30%K -4.22%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-17 05:04
TABtouch🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.06%E -3.03%K -7.56%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.06%E -2.30%K -4.22%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-17 05:04
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.06%E -3.03%K -7.56%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.06%E -2.30%K -4.22%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-17 05:04
ATG (SE)🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.06%E -3.03%K -7.56%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.06%E -2.30%K -4.22%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-17 05:04
Bally Bet🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.06%E -3.03%K -7.56%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.06%E -2.30%K -4.22%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-17 05:02
betPARX🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.06%E -3.03%K -7.56%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.06%E -2.30%K -4.22%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-17 05:04
Grosvenor🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 56.99%EV -10.75%E -6.85%K -18.86%G +0.000%	2.08I 48.08%NM 43.01%EV -10.24%E -4.92%K -9.48%G +0.000%	11.8%	2026-08-17 05:04

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Novig◎	1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%	2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%	1.9%	2026-08-17 08:04

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