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Gable Steveson v Sean Sharaf
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Gable Steveson (Local)
Prediction 89.91%1.11fair odd
EV -2.90%
Edge -2.68%
Kelly -36.22%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.08
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
86.90%89.97%89.92%92.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.021.061.061.0898.04%94.77%94.34%92.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Sean Sharaf (Visit)
Prediction 10.09%9.91fair odd
EV +21.09%
Edge +1.76%
Kelly +1.92%
Growth +0.404%
assuming max odds 12.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
7.98%10.03%10.08%13.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.109.699.7512.0014.08%10.32%10.26%8.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Gable Steveson (Local): 89.91%; Sean Sharaf (Visit): 10.09%. For Sean Sharaf (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 9.91. 14 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 12.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +21.09%.
Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -6.49%E -6.24%K -162.36%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV +21.09%E +1.76%K +1.92%G +0.404% | 4.5% | 2026-09-16 17:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.78%EV -7.39%E -7.18%K -246.45%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.22%EV +16.04%E +1.40%K +1.53%G +0.245% | 5.8% | 2026-09-17 10:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -5.60%E -5.33%K -111.90%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +11.00%E +1.000%K +1.10%G +0.121% | 4.3% | 2026-09-15 22:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.49%E -6.24%K -162.36%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +11.00%E +1.000%K +1.10%G +0.121% | 5.2% | 2026-09-16 16:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.49%E -6.24%K -162.36%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +11.00%E +1.000%K +1.10%G +0.121% | 5.2% | 2026-09-16 16:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.49%E -6.24%K -162.36%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +11.00%E +1.000%K +1.10%G +0.121% | 5.2% | 2026-09-16 16:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.49%E -6.24%K -162.36%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +11.00%E +1.000%K +1.10%G +0.121% | 5.2% | 2026-09-16 16:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.49%E -6.24%K -162.36%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +11.00%E +1.000%K +1.10%G +0.121% | 5.2% | 2026-09-16 16:44 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.49%E -6.24%K -162.36%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +11.00%E +1.000%K +1.10%G +0.121% | 5.2% | 2026-09-16 16:44 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.49%E -6.24%K -162.36%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +11.00%E +1.000%K +1.10%G +0.121% | 5.2% | 2026-09-16 16:44 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.49%E -6.24%K -162.36%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +11.00%E +1.000%K +1.10%G +0.121% | 5.2% | 2026-09-16 16:44 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.49%E -6.24%K -162.36%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +11.00%E +1.000%K +1.10%G +0.121% | 5.2% | 2026-09-17 15:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.60%E -5.33%K -111.90%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +0.907%E +0.091%K +0.101%G +0.001% | 5.2% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.60%E -5.33%K -111.90%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +0.907%E +0.091%K +0.101%G +0.001% | 5.2% | 2026-09-19 22:23 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 90.09%EV -2.90%E -2.68%K -36.22%G +0.000% | 9.82I 10.18%NM 9.91%EV -0.909%E -0.093%K -0.103%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-09-20 02:04 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.16%EV -3.80%E -3.55%K -54.24%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.84%EV -1.11%E -0.113%K -0.126%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-19 23:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 90.53%EV -8.29%E -8.13%K -414.63%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.47%EV -1.62%E -0.166%K -0.185%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-19 23:28 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -3.80%E -3.55%K -54.24%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV -4.14%E -0.436%K -0.487%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-19 23:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.70%E -4.43%K -78.27%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -4.14%E -0.436%K -0.487%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-20 01:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.70%E -4.43%K -78.27%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -4.14%E -0.436%K -0.487%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-20 01:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.48%EV -3.80%E -3.55%K -54.24%G +0.000% | 9.10I 10.99%NM 10.52%EV -8.17%E -0.898%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-20 01:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -2.90%E -2.68%K -36.22%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV -9.18%E -1.02%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-20 01:58 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -3.80%E -3.55%K -54.24%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -9.18%E -1.02%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-19 23:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.70%E -4.43%K -78.27%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -9.18%E -1.02%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-19 23:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.70%E -4.43%K -78.27%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -9.18%E -1.02%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-20 01:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.93%EV -3.80%E -3.55%K -54.24%G +0.000% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.07%EV -13.22%E -1.54%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-20 02:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.70%E -4.43%K -78.27%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -14.23%E -1.67%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-19 23:24 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.70%E -4.43%K -78.27%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -14.23%E -1.67%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-19 23:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -3.80%E -3.55%K -54.24%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -19.27%E -2.41%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-20 02:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.07%EV -5.60%E -5.33%K -111.90%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.93%EV -21.80%E -2.81%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-19 23:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -2.90%E -2.68%K -36.22%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -24.32%E -3.24%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-20 02:04 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -2.90%E -2.68%K -36.22%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -24.32%E -3.24%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-20 02:04 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.90%EV -3.80%E -3.55%K -54.24%G +0.000% | 7.10I 14.08%NM 13.10%EV -28.36%E -3.99%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-20 02:04 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.07I 93.46%NM 93.13% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.87% | 0.4% | 2026-09-20 01:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02% | 0.8% | 2026-09-20 02:04 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91% | 0.9% | 2026-09-19 22:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.60% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.40% | 1.3% | 2026-09-20 02:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.08I 92.59%NM 91.06% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.94% | 1.7% | 2026-09-20 01:59 |
| Novig◎ | 1.08I 92.59%NM 90.25% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.75% | 2.6% | 2026-09-20 02:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.18% | 8.90I 11.24%NM 10.82% | 3.8% | 2026-09-20 01:14 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.24% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.76% | 4.5% | 2026-09-20 01:49 |