The School of OddsGable Steveson v Elisha Ellison
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. See how the models score across every settled game →
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Head to Head
Gable Steveson (Local)
Prediction 88.65%1.13fair odd
EV -0.712%
Edge -0.636%
Kelly -5.93%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.12
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
85.11%88.67%88.77%90.91%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.051.081.071.1295%93%93%89%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Elisha Ellison (Visit)
Prediction 11.35%8.81fair odd
EV +19.17%
Edge +1.83%
Kelly +2.02%
Growth +0.387%
assuming max odds 10.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
9.09%11.33%11.23%14.89%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
6.408.578.5010.5016%12%12%10%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
1 bookmaker(s) offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (32 sportsbooks)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NordicBet | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -6.92%E -6.59%K -138.35%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV +19.17%E +1.83%K +2.02%G +0.387% | 4.8% | 2026-07-11 23:14 |
| Betsson | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -6.92%E -6.59%K -138.35%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV +19.17%E +1.83%K +2.02%G +0.387% | 4.8% | 2026-07-11 23:14 |
| Coolbet | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.11%EV -5.14%E -4.81%K -73.49%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.89%EV +10.66%E +1.09%K +1.22%G +0.130% | 3.7% | 2026-07-10 17:54 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -5.14%E -4.81%K -73.49%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV +7.82%E +0.824%K +0.921%G +0.072% | 4.0% | 2026-07-11 23:59 |
| Grosvenor | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -5.14%E -4.81%K -73.49%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV +7.82%E +0.824%K +0.921%G +0.072% | 4.0% | 2026-07-11 23:59 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -5.14%E -4.81%K -73.49%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV +7.82%E +0.824%K +0.921%G +0.072% | 4.0% | 2026-07-11 23:59 |
| Unibet | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -5.14%E -4.81%K -73.49%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV +7.82%E +0.824%K +0.921%G +0.072% | 4.0% | 2026-07-11 23:59 |
| TABtouch | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -5.14%E -4.81%K -73.49%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV +7.82%E +0.824%K +0.921%G +0.072% | 4.0% | 2026-07-11 23:59 |
| betPARX | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -5.14%E -4.81%K -73.49%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV +7.82%E +0.824%K +0.921%G +0.072% | 4.0% | 2026-07-11 23:59 |
| Bally Bet | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -5.14%E -4.81%K -73.49%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV +7.82%E +0.824%K +0.921%G +0.072% | 4.0% | 2026-07-11 23:59 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -5.14%E -4.81%K -73.49%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV +7.82%E +0.824%K +0.921%G +0.072% | 4.0% | 2026-07-11 23:59 |
| BetRivers | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -5.14%E -4.81%K -73.49%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV +7.82%E +0.824%K +0.921%G +0.072% | 4.0% | 2026-07-11 23:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.81%EV -6.92%E -6.59%K -138.35%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.19%EV +4.99%E +0.539%K +0.604%G +0.030% | 6.0% | 2026-07-11 05:09 |
| BetMGM | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -5.14%E -4.81%K -73.49%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV -0.688%E -0.079%K -0.089%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-11 23:44 |
| FanDuel | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.26%E -3.94%K -53.22%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -3.53%E -0.415%K -0.470%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-11 23:09 |
| Caesars | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.14%E -4.81%K -73.49%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -3.53%E -0.415%K -0.470%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-11 23:16 |
| SportsBet | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.14%E -4.81%K -73.49%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -3.53%E -0.415%K -0.470%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-11 23:14 |
| Bet Right | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.14%E -4.81%K -73.49%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -3.53%E -0.415%K -0.470%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-11 23:59 |
| 888sport | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -6.03%E -5.69%K -100.52%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -3.53%E -0.415%K -0.470%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-11 22:09 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.33%EV -3.37%E -3.09%K -37.46%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.67%EV -6.36%E -0.771%K -0.878%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-11 23:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -3.37%E -3.09%K -37.46%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -9.20%E -1.15%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-12 00:04 |
| TAB | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.26%E -3.94%K -53.22%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -9.20%E -1.15%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-11 23:09 |
| PlayUp | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.26%E -3.94%K -53.22%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -9.20%E -1.15%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-11 22:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -2.48%E -2.26%K -24.85%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -14.88%E -1.98%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-11 23:11 |
| Bovada | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -2.48%E -2.26%K -24.85%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -14.88%E -1.98%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-11 23:58 |
| Paddy Power | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.26%E -3.94%K -53.22%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -14.88%E -1.98%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-11 23:14 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.26%E -3.94%K -53.22%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -14.88%E -1.98%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-11 23:14 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.26%E -3.94%K -53.22%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -14.88%E -1.98%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-11 23:45 |
| Pinnacle | 1.11I 90.09%NM 87.06%EV -1.60%E -1.44%K -14.53%G +0.000% | 7.47I 13.39%NM 12.94%EV -15.22%E -2.04%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-07-11 23:55 |
| DraftKings | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.72%EV -1.60%E -1.44%K -14.53%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.28%EV -17.71%E -2.44%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-11 23:54 |
| BetAnything | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.92%EV -3.37%E -3.09%K -37.46%G +0.000% | 6.65I 15.04%NM 14.08%EV -24.52%E -3.69%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-11 23:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -0.712%E -0.636%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -27.36%E -4.28%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-11 23:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 1.13I 88.50%NM 88.71% | 8.88I 11.26%NM 11.29% | -0.2% | 2026-07-11 23:55 |
| Polymarket | 1.14I 87.72%NM 87.87% | 8.26I 12.11%NM 12.13% | -0.2% | 2026-07-12 00:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.23% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.77% | 1.0% | 2026-07-12 00:05 |
| Novig | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.62% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38% | 1.0% | 2026-07-12 00:04 |
| Matchbook | 1.10I 90.91%NM 89.91% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 10.09% | 1.1% | 2026-07-11 23:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.02% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.98% | 1.2% | 2026-07-12 00:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.02% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.98% | 1.2% | 2026-07-12 00:05 |
| ProphetX | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.06% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.94% | 1.7% | 2026-07-12 00:05 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.05I 95.24%NM 87.26% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 10.91% | 50.00I 2.00%NM 1.83% | 9.1% | 2026-07-11 23:14 |