Language:English
Farman Hasanov v Eric Nolan
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Farman Hasanov (Local)
Prediction 60.10%1.66fair odd
EV -0.834%
Edge -0.505%
Kelly -1.28%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.14%60.13%60.00%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.581.581.6565.36%63.10%63.29%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Eric Nolan (Visit)
Prediction 39.90%2.51fair odd
EV +1.74%
Edge +0.684%
Kelly +1.12%
Growth +0.020%
assuming max odds 2.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.50%39.87%40.00%41.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.392.382.5544.44%41.90%42.02%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Farman Hasanov (Local): 60.10%; Eric Nolan (Visit): 39.90%. For Eric Nolan (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.51. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.55, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.74%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betsson🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -8.05%E -5.26%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +1.74%E +0.684%K +1.12%G +0.020% | 4.6% | 2026-06-27 12:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -8.05%E -5.26%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +1.74%E +0.684%K +1.12%G +0.020% | 4.6% | 2026-06-27 12:29 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -8.05%E -5.26%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV -1.05%E -0.423%K -0.709%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-27 15:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.64%E -3.59%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.25%E -0.917%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-26 18:17 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.00%EV -2.64%E -1.63%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00%EV -3.04%E -1.25%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-06-27 12:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.00%EV -2.64%E -1.63%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00%EV -3.04%E -1.25%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-06-27 13:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.24%E -2.01%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.24%E -1.77%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-27 15:08 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.84%E -2.40%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.24%E -1.77%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-27 12:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.84%E -2.40%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.24%E -1.77%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-27 15:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.44%E -2.79%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.24%E -1.77%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-26 12:48 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.44%E -2.79%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.24%E -1.77%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-27 13:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.64%E -3.59%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.24%E -1.77%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-25 20:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.64%E -3.59%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.24%E -1.77%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-26 12:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.64%E -3.59%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.24%E -1.77%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-26 12:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.64%E -3.59%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.24%E -1.77%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-27 12:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.20%EV -5.04%E -3.19%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.80%EV -4.64%E -1.94%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-27 14:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -3.24%E -2.01%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -5.04%E -2.12%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-27 13:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -5.04%E -3.19%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.04%E -2.12%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-27 13:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -5.04%E -3.19%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.04%E -2.12%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-27 13:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -5.04%E -3.19%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.04%E -2.12%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-27 13:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.64%E -3.59%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.04%E -2.12%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-27 13:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.64%E -3.59%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.04%E -2.12%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-27 13:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.64%E -3.59%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.04%E -2.12%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-27 13:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.64%E -3.59%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.04%E -2.12%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-27 13:19 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.64%E -3.59%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.04%E -2.12%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-27 13:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.64%E -3.59%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.04%E -2.12%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-27 13:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -0.834%E -0.505%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -6.24%E -2.65%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-06-27 15:19 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.84%E -2.40%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.24%E -2.65%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-27 14:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.04%E -3.19%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.24%E -2.65%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-27 05:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.04%E -3.19%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.24%E -2.65%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-27 14:49 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.64%E -3.59%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.24%E -2.65%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-26 18:29 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.64%E -1.63%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -8.23%E -3.58%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-27 15:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.24%E -2.01%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -8.23%E -3.58%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-27 15:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -2.64%E -1.63%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -10.23%E -4.55%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-26 23:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -2.64%E -1.63%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -10.23%E -4.55%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-27 00:09 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.95% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 40.05% | -0.1% | 2026-06-27 15:10 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.53% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 39.47% | 0.1% | 2026-06-27 15:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76% | 0.6% | 2026-06-27 15:20 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 0.9% | 2026-06-27 14:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29% | 0.9% | 2026-06-27 15:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29% | 0.9% | 2026-06-27 15:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29% | 0.9% | 2026-06-27 15:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.11% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.89% | 1.9% | 2026-06-27 15:20 |
| Novig◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31% | 5.1% | 2026-06-27 15:20 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.09% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.06% | 50.00I 2.00%NM 1.84% | 8.5% | 2026-06-27 15:00 |