Farid Basharat v Ethyn Ewing

2026-07-11 21:50 — MMA

Head to Head

22 sportsbooks (8 in analysis)

1 bookmaker(s) offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Option 1: Farid Basharat (Local)

Odds

1.9850.51%Min

2.0648.57%Mean

2.0548.78%Median

2.1646.30%Max

Consensus probabilities

43.75%2.286Min

47.34%2.112Max

45.94%2.177Mean

45.99%2.174Median

46.02%2.173IQM

45.94%2.177Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.16 under the IQM model: 46.02%

EV -0.607%Edge -0.281%Kelly -0.523%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Ethyn Ewing (Visit)

Odds

1.6859.52%Min

1.7756.57%Mean

1.7956.02%Median

1.8055.56%Max

Consensus probabilities

52.66%1.899Min

56.25%1.778Max

54.06%1.850Mean

54.01%1.852Median

53.98%1.852IQM

54.06%1.850Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.80 under the IQM model: 53.98%

EV -2.83%Edge -1.57%Kelly -3.53%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (22 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Farid Basharat (Local) ▼	Ethyn Ewing (Visit)	Margin	Updated
FanDuel	2.16I 46.30% NM 43.75%EV -0.607% E -0.281% K -0.523% G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52% NM 56.25%EV -9.31% E -5.54% K -13.68% G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-06-29 20:40
SportsBet	2.15I 46.51% NM 43.86%EV -1.07% E -0.496% K -0.928% G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52% NM 56.14%EV -9.31% E -5.54% K -13.68% G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-06-29 20:40
BetOnline.ag	2.10I 47.62% NM 45.74%EV -3.37% E -1.60% K -3.06% G +0.000%	1.77I 56.50% NM 54.26%EV -4.45% E -2.51% K -5.78% G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-06-29 18:36
Coolbet	2.10I 47.62% NM 45.74%EV -3.37% E -1.60% K -3.06% G +0.000%	1.77I 56.50% NM 54.26%EV -4.45% E -2.51% K -5.78% G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-06-29 13:40
NordicBet	2.10I 47.62% NM 45.60%EV -3.37% E -1.60% K -3.06% G +0.000%	1.76I 56.82% NM 54.40%EV -4.99% E -2.83% K -6.56% G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-06-29 15:01
Betsson	2.10I 47.62% NM 45.60%EV -3.37% E -1.60% K -3.06% G +0.000%	1.76I 56.82% NM 54.40%EV -4.99% E -2.83% K -6.56% G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-06-29 15:01
Paddy Power	2.10I 47.62% NM 45.17%EV -3.37% E -1.60% K -3.06% G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80% NM 54.83%EV -6.61% E -3.82% K -9.05% G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-06-29 16:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)	2.10I 47.62% NM 45.17%EV -3.37% E -1.60% K -3.06% G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80% NM 54.83%EV -6.61% E -3.82% K -9.05% G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-06-29 16:19
Pinnacle	2.08I 48.08% NM 46.25%EV -4.29% E -2.06% K -3.97% G +0.000%	1.79I 55.87% NM 53.75%EV -3.37% E -1.88% K -4.26% G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-06-29 15:10
DraftKings	2.05I 48.78% NM 46.75%EV -5.67% E -2.77% K -5.40% G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56% NM 53.25%EV -2.83% E -1.57% K -3.53% G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-06-29 18:40
PointsBet (AU)	2.05I 48.78% NM 46.34%EV -5.67% E -2.77% K -5.40% G +0.000%	1.77I 56.50% NM 53.66%EV -4.45% E -2.51% K -5.78% G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-06-29 18:50
Betr (AU)	2.05I 48.78% NM 46.19%EV -5.67% E -2.77% K -5.40% G +0.000%	1.76I 56.82% NM 53.81%EV -4.99% E -2.83% K -6.56% G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-06-29 19:09
Grosvenor	2.02I 49.50% NM 46.98%EV -7.05% E -3.49% K -6.91% G +0.000%	1.79I 55.87% NM 53.02%EV -3.37% E -1.88% K -4.26% G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-06-29 17:50
Virgin Bet	2.02I 49.50% NM 46.98%EV -7.05% E -3.49% K -6.91% G +0.000%	1.79I 55.87% NM 53.02%EV -3.37% E -1.88% K -4.26% G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-06-29 17:50
LiveScore Bet	2.02I 49.50% NM 46.98%EV -7.05% E -3.49% K -6.91% G +0.000%	1.79I 55.87% NM 53.02%EV -3.37% E -1.88% K -4.26% G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-06-29 17:50
Unibet	2.02I 49.50% NM 46.98%EV -7.05% E -3.49% K -6.91% G +0.000%	1.79I 55.87% NM 53.02%EV -3.37% E -1.88% K -4.26% G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-06-29 17:50
TABtouch	2.02I 49.50% NM 46.98%EV -7.05% E -3.49% K -6.91% G +0.000%	1.79I 55.87% NM 53.02%EV -3.37% E -1.88% K -4.26% G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-06-29 17:49
LeoVegas	2.02I 49.50% NM 46.98%EV -7.05% E -3.49% K -6.91% G +0.000%	1.79I 55.87% NM 53.02%EV -3.37% E -1.88% K -4.26% G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-06-29 17:50
Bally Bet	2.02I 49.50% NM 46.98%EV -7.05% E -3.49% K -6.91% G +0.000%	1.79I 55.87% NM 53.02%EV -3.37% E -1.88% K -4.26% G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-06-29 17:49
ATG (SE)	2.02I 49.50% NM 46.98%EV -7.05% E -3.49% K -6.91% G +0.000%	1.79I 55.87% NM 53.02%EV -3.37% E -1.88% K -4.26% G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-06-29 17:50
betPARX	2.02I 49.50% NM 46.98%EV -7.05% E -3.49% K -6.91% G +0.000%	1.79I 55.87% NM 53.02%EV -3.37% E -1.88% K -4.26% G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-06-29 18:00
Unibet (UK)	1.98I 50.51% NM 47.34%EV -8.89% E -4.49% K -9.07% G +0.000%	1.78I 56.18% NM 52.66%EV -3.91% E -2.20% K -5.01% G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-06-30 05:58

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (4)

Bookmaker	Farid Basharat (Local)	Ethyn Ewing (Visit)	Margin ▲	Updated
Polymarket	2.00I 50.00%	1.96I 51.02%	1.0%	2026-06-29 18:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)	1.03I 97.09%	1.03I 97.09%	94.2%	2026-06-30 01:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)	1.03I 97.09%	1.03I 97.09%	94.2%	2026-06-30 01:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)	1.03I 97.09%	1.03I 97.09%	94.2%	2026-06-30 01:40

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

Bookmaker	Option 1	Option 2	Option 3	Margin ▲	Updated
1xBet	2.09I 47.85%	1.72I 58.14%	33.00I 3.03%	9.0%	2026-06-30 07:29