The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Farid Basharat v Ethyn Ewing

Kickoff: 2026-06-20 21:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

12 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Farid Basharat (Local)

Prediction 45.81%2.18fair odd
EV -3.79%
Edge -1.81%
Kelly -3.45%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.74%45.77%45.74%46.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.092.102.1048.78%47.89%47.62%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Ethyn Ewing (Visit)

Prediction 54.19%1.85fair odd
EV -2.46%
Edge -1.37%
Kelly -3.08%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.25%54.23%54.26%55.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.751.751.8058.82%57.06%56.98%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Farid Basharat (Local): 45.81%; Ethyn Ewing (Visit): 54.19%. For Ethyn Ewing (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.85. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.80, with an expected value of -2.46%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.79%E -1.81%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.09%E -2.31%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-12 19:08
BetUS🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.79%E -1.81%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.09%E -2.31%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-12 19:10
DraftKings🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.79%E -1.81%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.09%E -2.31%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-12 17:49
SportsBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.79%E -1.81%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.71%E -3.28%K -7.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-13 21:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.79%E -1.81%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.25%E -3.62%K -8.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-12 20:10
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.79%E -1.81%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.25%E -3.62%K -8.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-12 20:08
NordicBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.79%E -1.81%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.88%E -4.64%K -11.26%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-12 20:30
Betsson🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.79%E -1.81%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.88%E -4.64%K -11.26%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-12 20:30
FanDuel🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -4.71%E -2.27%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -6.80%E -3.95%K -9.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-12 20:10
Pinnacle🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -5.17%E -2.50%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV -2.46%E -1.37%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-12 18:29
Coolbet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -5.63%E -2.73%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -2.46%E -1.37%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-14 14:44
Bovada🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.09%E -2.97%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.46%E -1.37%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-15 04:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly◎2.23I 44.84%NM 44.80%1.81I 55.25%NM 55.20%0.1%2026-06-15 03:40
Novig◎2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.79%10.6%2026-06-16 12:10