The School of Odds

Eliezer Kubanza v Chris Mixan

2026-07-26 02:10 UTC — MMA

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Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Eliezer Kubanza (Local)

Prediction 54.79%1.83fair odd
EV -4.12%
Edge -2.36%
Kelly -5.50%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.11%54.79%54.55%55.27%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.601.721.731.7563%58%58%57%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Chris Mixan (Visit)

Prediction 45.21%2.21fair odd
EV -2.79%
Edge -1.30%
Kelly -2.43%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.73%45.21%45.45%45.89%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.922.062.042.1552%49%49%47%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.12%E -2.36%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.05%E -2.41%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-24 15:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.12%E -2.36%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.05%E -2.41%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-24 15:00
BetOnline.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.67%E -2.68%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.79%E -1.30%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-24 19:50
Grosvenor1.73I 57.80%NM 54.11%EV -5.22%E -3.02%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.89%EV -7.77%E -3.81%K -7.47%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-24 15:00
Unibet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.11%EV -5.22%E -3.02%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.89%EV -7.77%E -3.81%K -7.47%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-24 15:00
Bally Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.11%EV -5.22%E -3.02%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.89%EV -7.77%E -3.81%K -7.47%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-24 15:00
Winamax (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 54.55%EV -12.34%E -7.71%K -20.57%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 45.45%EV -13.19%E -6.87%K -14.34%G +0.000%14.6%2026-07-24 19:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.