Language:English
Edmen Shahbazyan v Brunno Ferreira
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Edmen Shahbazyan (Local)
Prediction 61.56%1.62fair odd
EV -2.13%
Edge -1.34%
Kelly -3.60%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.59
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.45%61.60%61.58%62.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.531.531.5971.43%65.17%65.36%62.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Brunno Ferreira (Visit)
Prediction 38.44%2.60fair odd
EV -1.97%
Edge -0.771%
Kelly -1.27%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.19%38.40%38.42%39.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.282.492.502.5543.86%40.08%40.00%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Edmen Shahbazyan (Local): 61.56%; Brunno Ferreira (Visit): 38.44%. For Brunno Ferreira (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.60. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.55, with an expected value of -1.97%; they did not produce positive expected value.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -2.13%E -1.34%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -5.81%E -2.37%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-19 22:23 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.80%EV -3.36%E -2.14%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.20%EV -2.35%E -0.926%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-19 22:20 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -3.36%E -2.14%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -4.66%E -1.88%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-19 22:15 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.36%E -2.14%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.81%E -2.37%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-19 22:23 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.36%E -2.14%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.81%E -2.37%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-16 20:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.36%E -2.14%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.81%E -2.37%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-19 22:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.36%E -2.14%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -7.73%E -3.22%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-19 22:14 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV -3.97%E -2.55%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV -2.74%E -1.08%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-19 22:33 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.97%E -2.55%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.89%E -1.56%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-19 22:19 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.97%E -2.55%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.89%E -1.56%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-19 22:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.97%E -2.55%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.89%E -1.56%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-19 22:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.97%E -2.55%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.81%E -2.37%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-19 22:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -5.20%E -3.38%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -4.27%E -1.72%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-19 22:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.82%E -3.80%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -1.97%E -0.771%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-17 13:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.82%E -3.80%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -1.97%E -0.771%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.82%E -3.80%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.89%E -1.56%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-19 14:02 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.82%E -3.80%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.89%E -1.56%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-19 14:02 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.82%E -3.80%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.89%E -1.56%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-19 22:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.82%E -3.80%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.89%E -1.56%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-19 22:19 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.82%E -3.80%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.81%E -2.37%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-19 22:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -6.44%E -4.23%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -1.97%E -0.771%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -6.44%E -4.23%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -1.97%E -0.771%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-19 14:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -6.44%E -4.23%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -1.97%E -0.771%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -6.44%E -4.23%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -1.97%E -0.771%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-19 14:02 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -6.44%E -4.23%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -3.89%E -1.56%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-19 22:24 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.82%EV -6.44%E -4.23%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.18%EV -9.27%E -3.93%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-19 18:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.05%E -4.67%K -13.83%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.97%E -0.771%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-19 14:02 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.05%E -4.67%K -13.83%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.97%E -0.771%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-19 14:02 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.05%E -4.67%K -13.83%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.97%E -0.771%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-19 14:02 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.05%E -4.67%K -13.83%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.97%E -0.771%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.05%E -4.67%K -13.83%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.97%E -0.771%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -7.05%E -4.67%K -13.83%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -3.89%E -1.56%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-17 13:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 61.96%EV -13.82%E -9.87%K -34.56%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 38.04%EV -12.35%E -5.42%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 62.12% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.88% | -0.0% | 2026-09-19 22:14 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91% | 0.7% | 2026-09-19 22:32 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.23% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.77% | 1.1% | 2026-09-19 22:34 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.2% | 2026-09-19 22:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.72% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.28% | 1.3% | 2026-09-19 22:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.54% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.46% | 1.6% | 2026-09-19 22:34 |
| Novig◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31% | 2.0% | 2026-09-19 22:34 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.35% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.65% | 2.2% | 2026-09-19 22:34 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.54% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 38.61% | 50.00I 2.00%NM 1.85% | 8.4% | 2026-09-19 18:26 |