The School of Odds

Dylan Diebitz v Preston Lagrange

2026-07-25 02:25 UTC — MMA

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Head to Head

3 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Dylan Diebitz (Local)

Prediction 35.71%2.80fair odd
EV -3.57%
Edge -1.32%
Kelly -2.10%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.71%35.71%35.71%40.05%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.322.452.322.7043%41%43%37%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Preston Lagrange (Visit)

Prediction 64.29%1.56fair odd
EV -0.357%
Edge -0.230%
Kelly -0.649%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.95%64.29%64.29%64.29%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.501.531.551.5567%65%65%65%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (3 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.57%E -1.32%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.57%E -2.38%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-24 10:04
Unibet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.05%EV -17.14%E -7.39%K -12.99%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.95%EV -0.357%E -0.230%K -0.649%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-24 10:05
Grosvenor2.32I 43.10%NM 40.05%EV -17.14%E -7.39%K -12.99%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.95%EV -0.357%E -0.230%K -0.649%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-24 10:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.