Language:English
Dustin Jacoby v Muhammad Said
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Dustin Jacoby (Local)
Prediction 62.37%1.60fair odd
EV -2.09%
Edge -1.33%
Kelly -3.66%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.57
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.16%62.38%62.35%64.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.481.541.541.5767.57%64.99%64.94%63.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Muhammad Said (Visit)
Prediction 37.63%2.66fair odd
EV -0.268%
Edge -0.101%
Kelly -0.163%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.84%37.62%37.65%39.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.282.502.502.6543.86%40.01%40.00%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Dustin Jacoby (Local): 62.37%; Muhammad Said (Visit): 37.63%. For Muhammad Said (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.66. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.65, with an expected value of -0.268%; they did not produce positive expected value.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -2.09%E -1.33%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -5.91%E -2.37%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-23 18:08 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.09%E -1.33%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -9.68%E -4.03%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-23 18:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.09%E -1.33%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -9.68%E -4.03%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-23 18:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.09%E -1.33%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -9.68%E -4.03%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-23 18:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.09%E -1.33%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -9.68%E -4.03%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-23 18:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -2.71%E -1.74%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -9.68%E -4.03%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-23 18:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -2.71%E -1.74%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -9.68%E -4.03%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-23 18:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -2.71%E -1.74%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -9.68%E -4.03%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-23 18:33 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -2.71%E -1.74%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -9.68%E -4.03%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-23 18:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -2.71%E -1.74%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -9.68%E -4.03%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-23 18:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.38%EV -3.33%E -2.15%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.62%EV -3.28%E -1.28%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-25 15:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.33%E -2.15%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -9.68%E -4.03%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-24 04:34 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -3.96%E -2.57%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -2.15%E -0.827%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-25 15:18 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.96%E -2.57%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.03%E -1.58%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-25 15:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.96%E -2.57%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.03%E -1.58%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-25 11:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.96%E -2.57%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.03%E -1.58%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-25 11:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -3.96%E -2.57%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -4.41%E -1.74%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-25 14:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -3.96%E -2.57%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -7.80%E -3.18%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-25 11:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -4.58%E -2.99%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -0.268%E -0.101%K -0.163%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-07-25 15:15 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.58%E -2.99%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.15%E -0.827%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-25 14:18 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -4.58%E -2.99%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -2.90%E -1.13%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-25 13:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.58%E -2.99%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.91%E -2.37%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-25 13:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.58%E -2.99%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.91%E -2.37%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-25 14:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.58%E -2.99%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.91%E -2.37%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-25 13:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.58%E -2.99%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.91%E -2.37%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-25 07:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.58%E -2.99%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.91%E -2.37%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-25 15:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.58%E -2.99%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.91%E -2.37%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-25 14:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -5.20%E -3.42%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -2.15%E -0.827%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-25 15:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.90%EV -5.83%E -3.86%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.10%EV -3.66%E -1.43%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-25 13:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.16%EV -5.83%E -3.86%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.84%EV -14.19%E -6.23%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-23 18:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -6.45%E -4.30%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -0.268%E -0.101%K -0.163%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-25 14:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.45%E -4.30%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.15%E -0.827%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-25 14:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -7.70%E -5.20%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -0.268%E -0.101%K -0.163%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-25 14:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.62% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.38% | -0.2% | 2026-07-25 15:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 65.00% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 35.00% | -0.1% | 2026-07-25 15:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60% | 0.5% | 2026-07-25 15:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28% | 0.6% | 2026-07-25 15:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28% | 0.6% | 2026-07-25 15:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28% | 0.6% | 2026-07-25 15:15 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68% | 0.9% | 2026-07-25 15:20 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62% | 1.1% | 2026-07-25 12:20 |
| Novig◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17% | 2.4% | 2026-07-25 15:20 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.23% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 40.88% | 50.00I 2.00%NM 1.89% | 5.9% | 2026-07-25 13:10 |
Discuss this game on odds.forum
No published comments yet.