Language:English
Dusko Todorovic v Robert Valentin
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Dusko Todorovic (Local)
Prediction 41.67%2.40fair odd
EV +0.019%
Edge +0.008%
Kelly +0.013%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.55%41.71%41.55%44.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.282.302.4047.62%43.78%43.48%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Robert Valentin (Visit)
Prediction 58.33%1.71fair odd
EV -1.43%
Edge -0.846%
Kelly -2.07%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.69
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.00%58.29%58.45%60.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.541.631.621.6964.94%61.50%61.73%59.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Dusko Todorovic (Local): 41.67%; Robert Valentin (Visit): 58.33%. For Dusko Todorovic (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.3996. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.4000, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.019%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (39 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV +0.019%E +0.008%K +0.013%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -8.43%E -5.37%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-27 11:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.90%EV -1.23%E -0.520%K -0.899%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.10%EV -4.35%E -2.65%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-01 17:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -2.07%E -0.879%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -7.85%E -4.97%K -13.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-31 11:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -2.48%E -1.06%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -4.93%E -3.02%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-01 16:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -2.90%E -1.24%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.21%EV -10.18%E -6.61%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-01 17:43 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -3.32%E -1.43%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.10%E -3.79%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-01 16:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -3.32%E -1.43%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.10%E -3.79%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-01 16:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -3.32%E -1.43%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.10%E -3.79%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-01 16:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -3.32%E -1.43%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.10%E -3.79%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-01 16:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -3.32%E -1.43%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.10%E -3.79%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-01 16:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -3.32%E -1.43%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.10%E -3.79%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-01 16:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -3.32%E -1.43%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.10%E -3.79%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-01 16:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -3.32%E -1.43%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.10%E -3.79%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-01 16:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -3.32%E -1.43%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.10%E -3.79%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-01 16:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -3.32%E -1.43%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.10%E -3.79%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-01 16:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.15%E -1.80%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.60%E -1.55%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-01 17:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.15%E -1.80%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.76%E -2.28%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-01 17:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.15%E -1.80%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.76%E -2.28%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-01 17:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.15%E -1.80%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.35%E -2.65%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-01 17:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.15%E -1.80%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.35%E -2.65%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-01 17:24 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.15%E -1.80%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.93%E -3.02%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-01 16:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.15%E -1.80%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.51%E -3.40%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-01 16:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.15%E -1.80%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.10%E -3.79%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-01 16:14 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -4.15%E -1.80%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -7.26%E -4.57%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-01 16:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.57%EV -4.98%E -2.19%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.43%EV -1.43%E -0.846%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-01 17:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.98%E -2.19%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.93%E -3.02%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-01 17:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -6.23%E -2.77%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.01%E -1.20%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-01 17:49 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.23%E -2.77%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.60%E -1.55%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-01 17:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.23%E -2.77%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.60%E -1.55%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-01 16:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.23%E -2.77%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.60%E -1.55%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-01 17:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.23%E -2.77%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.76%E -2.28%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-01 17:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.23%E -2.77%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.51%E -3.40%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-26 08:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.23%E -2.77%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.51%E -3.40%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-01 14:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.23%E -2.77%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.10%E -3.79%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-01 17:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.23%E -2.77%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.10%E -3.79%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-01 16:44 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -8.32%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.67%EV -9.60%E -6.19%K -17.45%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-01 16:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -9.15%E -4.20%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -1.43%E -0.846%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-01 17:43 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -12.48%E -5.94%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -3.76%E -2.28%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-01 17:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.85%EV -12.48%E -5.94%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.15%EV -4.35%E -2.65%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-01 17:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.84% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 56.16% | 0.0% | 2026-08-01 17:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68% | 0.8% | 2026-08-01 17:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68% | 0.8% | 2026-08-01 17:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99% | 0.9% | 2026-08-01 17:50 |
| Novig◎ | 2.35I 42.55%NM 42.12% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.88% | 1.0% | 2026-08-01 17:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 1.2% | 2026-08-01 17:50 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42% | 1.9% | 2026-08-01 17:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96% | 2.1% | 2026-08-01 17:40 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.35% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.78% | 50.00I 2.00%NM 1.87% | 6.8% | 2026-08-01 16:58 |
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