The School of Odds

Dusko Todorovic v Robert Valentin

2026-08-01 22:00 UTC — MMA

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Head to Head

1 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Dusko Todorovic (Local)

Prediction 43.73%2.29fair odd
EV -3.79%
Edge -1.72%
Kelly -3.15%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.73%43.73%43.73%43.73%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.202.202.202.2045%45%45%45%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Robert Valentin (Visit)

Prediction 56.27%1.78fair odd
EV -3.79%
Edge -2.21%
Kelly -5.33%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.71

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.27%56.27%56.27%56.27%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.711.711.711.7158%58%58%58%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

1 bookmaker(s) offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (1 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.79%E -1.72%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.79%E -2.21%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-24 05:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
1xBet2.19I 45.66%NM 42.74%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.42%33.00I 3.03%NM 2.84%6.8%2026-07-24 05:45