Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Drew Dober v Christian Leroy Duncan

2026-11-15 00:00 UTC — MMA

Head to Head

1 sportsbook (1 in analysis )

39%

61%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Drew Dober (Local)

Prediction 39.05%2.56fair odd

EV -4.32%

Edge -1.76%

Kelly -2.98%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

39.05%39.05%39.05%39.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.452.452.452.4540.82%40.82%40.82%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Christian Leroy Duncan (Visit)

Prediction 60.95%1.64fair odd

EV -4.32%

Edge -2.75%

Kelly -7.57%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.57

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

60.95%60.95%60.95%60.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.571.571.571.5763.69%63.69%63.69%63.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Drew Dober (Local): 39.05%; Christian Leroy Duncan (Visit): 60.95%. For Drew Dober (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.56. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.45, with an expected value of -4.32%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (1 sportsbook)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
DraftKings🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.32%E -1.76%K -2.98%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.32%E -2.75%K -7.57%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-11-08 16:59

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

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