Language:English
Drakkar Klose v Thomas Gantt
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Drakkar Klose (Local)
Prediction 23.50%4.26fair odd
EV +9.28%
Edge +2.00%
Kelly +2.54%
Growth +0.236%
assuming max odds 4.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.65%23.30%23.81%26.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.504.054.004.6528.57%24.72%25.00%21.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Thomas Gantt (Visit)
Prediction 76.50%1.31fair odd
EV -1.32%
Edge -1.02%
Kelly -4.54%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.29
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
73.07%76.70%76.19%79.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.131.241.241.2988.50%80.37%80.65%77.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Drakkar Klose (Local): 23.50%; Thomas Gantt (Visit): 76.50%. For Drakkar Klose (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.26. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.65, corresponding to a positive expected value of +9.28%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betsson🎯 | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.65%EV +9.28%E +2.00%K +2.54%G +0.236% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.35%EV -7.44%E -6.15%K -35.41%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-12 17:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.65%EV +9.28%E +2.00%K +2.54%G +0.236% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.35%EV -7.44%E -6.15%K -35.41%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-12 17:24 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV +5.76%E +1.28%K +1.64%G +0.095% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -6.67%E -5.47%K -30.32%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV +1.76%E +0.406%K +0.529%G +0.009% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -6.67%E -5.47%K -30.32%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -0.120%E -0.028%K -0.037%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -5.14%E -4.15%K -21.42%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-12 18:41 |
| Caesars🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -1.30%E -0.308%K -0.405%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.14%E -4.15%K -21.42%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-12 15:31 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -1.30%E -0.308%K -0.405%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.91%E -4.80%K -25.68%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-12 18:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -1.30%E -0.308%K -0.405%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.91%E -4.80%K -25.68%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-12 18:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -1.30%E -0.308%K -0.405%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.91%E -4.80%K -25.68%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-12 18:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -1.30%E -0.308%K -0.405%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.91%E -4.80%K -25.68%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-12 18:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -1.30%E -0.308%K -0.405%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.91%E -4.80%K -25.68%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-12 18:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -1.30%E -0.308%K -0.405%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.91%E -4.80%K -25.68%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-12 18:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -1.30%E -0.308%K -0.405%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.91%E -4.80%K -25.68%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-12 18:41 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -1.30%E -0.308%K -0.405%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.67%E -5.47%K -30.32%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.65%E -0.889%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.14%E -4.15%K -21.42%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| ReBet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -6.00%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -2.85%E -2.24%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -6.00%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -3.61%E -2.87%K -13.89%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-12 19:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.00%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.38%E -3.50%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-12 17:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.00%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.38%E -3.50%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -7.17%E -1.82%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -2.85%E -2.24%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-12 17:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -7.17%E -1.82%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.14%E -4.15%K -21.42%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-12 18:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -7.17%E -1.82%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.14%E -4.15%K -21.42%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-12 17:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.94I 25.38%NM 24.38%EV -7.41%E -1.88%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.62%EV -2.85%E -2.24%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -8.35%E -2.14%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -2.85%E -2.24%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -8.35%E -2.14%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.61%E -2.87%K -13.89%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-12 18:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.90%EV -8.58%E -2.21%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.10%EV -1.32%E -1.02%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-12 19:16 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.66%EV -8.82%E -2.27%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.34%EV -2.85%E -2.24%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -9.52%E -2.47%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -2.08%E -1.63%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-12 17:31 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -11.87%E -3.17%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.38%E -3.50%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-12 19:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.16%EV -11.87%E -3.17%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 76.84%EV -13.56%E -12.00%K -104.28%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-09-12 18:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -17.75%E -5.07%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -1.32%E -1.02%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-12 17:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -17.75%E -5.07%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -1.32%E -1.02%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-12 17:35 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -17.75%E -5.07%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -2.85%E -2.24%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-12 17:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 4.14I 24.15%NM 24.18% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.82% | -0.1% | 2026-09-12 19:04 |
| Novig◎ | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.74% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.26% | 1.1% | 2026-09-12 19:21 |
| Kalshi◎ | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.74% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.26% | 1.1% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.50% | 1.3% | 2026-09-12 19:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.93% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.07% | 1.9% | 2026-09-12 19:16 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.93% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.07% | 1.9% | 2026-09-12 19:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34% | 5.6% | 2026-09-12 18:15 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.99I 25.06%NM 23.13% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.03% | 50.00I 2.00%NM 1.85% | 8.4% | 2026-09-12 17:55 |