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Douglas Rodrigues v Trent Miller

2026-08-19 00:00 UTC — MMA

Head to Head

6 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Douglas Rodrigues (Local)

Prediction 72.90%1.37fair odd
EV -2.32%
Edge -1.73%
Kelly -6.81%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.34

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.48%72.90%72.90%73.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.291.321.321.3477.52%75.85%75.76%74.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Trent Miller (Visit)

Prediction 27.10%3.69fair odd
EV -4.60%
Edge -1.31%
Kelly -1.83%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.52

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.93%27.10%27.10%29.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.333.253.5231.25%30.05%30.77%28.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Douglas Rodrigues (Local): 72.90%; Trent Miller (Visit): 27.10%. For Douglas Rodrigues (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.37. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.34, with an expected value of -2.32%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (6 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
ReBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -2.32%E -1.73%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -13.27%E -4.15%K -6.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 16:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.73%EV -3.77%E -2.86%K -11.80%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.27%EV -4.60%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-15 20:09
TABtouch🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -3.77%E -2.86%K -11.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -11.92%E -3.67%K -5.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-15 16:59
Grosvenor🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -3.77%E -2.86%K -11.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -11.92%E -3.67%K -5.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-15 16:59
Unibet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -3.77%E -2.86%K -11.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -11.92%E -3.67%K -5.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-15 16:59
FanDuel🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.96%E -4.62%K -20.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.14%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-15 16:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.28I 78.13%NM 73.28%3.51I 28.49%NM 26.72%6.6%2026-08-15 19:45

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