Language:English
Dooho Choi v Daniel Santos
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Dooho Choi (Local)
Prediction 39.85%2.51fair odd
EV +3.60%
Edge +1.39%
Kelly +2.25%
Growth +0.081%
assuming max odds 2.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.05%39.72%39.90%41.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.282.382.352.6043.86%42.07%42.55%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Daniel Santos (Visit)
Prediction 60.15%1.66fair odd
EV -1.95%
Edge -1.20%
Kelly -3.10%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.63
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.67%60.28%60.10%62.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.521.591.601.6365.79%62.95%62.50%61.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Dooho Choi (Local): 39.85%; Daniel Santos (Visit): 60.15%. For Dooho Choi (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.51. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.60%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV +3.60%E +1.39%K +2.25%G +0.081% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -7.97%E -5.21%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-17 01:54 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -0.380%E -0.152%K -0.253%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.97%E -5.21%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-17 00:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -2.37%E -0.968%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -4.96%E -3.14%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-15 12:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -2.37%E -0.968%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -4.96%E -3.14%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-15 12:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.37%E -0.968%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.16%E -3.95%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-16 20:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.80%EV -3.57%E -1.47%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.20%EV -3.76%E -2.35%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-16 21:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -3.57%E -1.47%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -5.56%E -3.54%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-16 21:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -4.37%E -1.82%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -1.95%E -1.20%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-17 01:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -4.37%E -1.82%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -2.55%E -1.58%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-17 01:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.37%E -1.82%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.76%E -2.35%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-16 20:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.37%E -1.82%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.76%E -2.35%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-16 22:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.37%E -1.82%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.96%E -3.14%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-15 21:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.37%E -1.82%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.96%E -3.14%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-15 21:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.37%E -1.82%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.56%E -3.54%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-16 20:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.37%E -1.82%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.56%E -3.54%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-16 20:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.16%E -2.17%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.56%E -3.54%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-16 21:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.16%E -2.17%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.56%E -3.54%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-16 22:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.60%EV -5.56%E -2.35%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.40%EV -2.55%E -1.58%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-17 01:54 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -6.36%E -2.71%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.16%E -1.96%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-17 00:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.36%E -2.71%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.76%E -2.35%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-17 00:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.36%E -2.71%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.76%E -2.35%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-17 00:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.36%E -2.71%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.76%E -2.35%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-17 00:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.36%E -2.71%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.76%E -2.35%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-17 00:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.36%E -2.71%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.76%E -2.35%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-17 00:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.36%E -2.71%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.76%E -2.35%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-17 00:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.36%E -2.71%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.76%E -2.35%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-17 00:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.36%E -2.71%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.76%E -2.35%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-17 00:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.36%E -2.71%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.76%E -2.35%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-17 00:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.36%E -2.71%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.76%E -2.35%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-17 00:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.36%E -2.71%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.76%E -2.35%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-17 00:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.36%E -2.71%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.76%E -2.35%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-17 00:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.36%E -2.71%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.76%E -2.35%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-17 00:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.36%E -2.71%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.76%E -2.35%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-17 00:41 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.36%E -2.71%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.76%E -2.35%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-17 01:21 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.36%E -2.71%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.76%E -2.35%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-17 00:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.36%E -2.71%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.56%E -3.54%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 15:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.36%E -2.71%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.56%E -3.54%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 20:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -6.36%E -2.71%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -8.57%E -5.64%K -16.48%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-16 20:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -6.76%E -2.89%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -2.55%E -1.58%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-17 01:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -8.35%E -3.63%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.55%E -1.58%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-17 01:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -8.35%E -3.63%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.16%E -1.96%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-12 10:44 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.31%EV -9.15%E -4.01%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.69%EV -7.37%E -4.78%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-17 01:53 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.49I 40.16%NM 40.14% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.86% | 0.0% | 2026-05-17 01:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58% | 0.7% | 2026-05-17 01:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91% | 0.7% | 2026-05-17 01:51 |
| Novig◎ | 2.51I 39.84%NM 39.52% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.48% | 0.8% | 2026-05-17 01:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72% | 1.0% | 2026-05-17 01:50 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.94% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.06% | 1.1% | 2026-05-17 01:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80% | 2.0% | 2026-05-17 01:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.21% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.79% | 3.7% | 2026-05-17 01:50 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.00% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.13% | 50.00I 2.00%NM 1.87% | 6.8% | 2026-05-17 00:46 |