Language:English
Donte Johnson v Cody Brundage
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Donte Johnson (Local)
Prediction 85.80%1.17fair odd
EV -2.19%
Edge -1.92%
Kelly -15.64%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.14
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
82.02%85.65%86.09%88.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.081.111.111.1492.59%90.05%90.09%87.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Cody Brundage (Visit)
Prediction 14.20%7.04fair odd
EV +13.62%
Edge +1.70%
Kelly +1.95%
Growth +0.265%
assuming max odds 8.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.89%14.35%13.91%17.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.206.797.008.0019.23%14.74%14.29%12.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Donte Johnson (Local): 85.80%; Cody Brundage (Visit): 14.20%. For Cody Brundage (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.04. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +13.62%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neds🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -7.34%E -6.79%K -91.73%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +13.62%E +1.70%K +1.95%G +0.265% | 5.1% | 2026-03-08 00:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -7.34%E -6.79%K -91.73%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +13.62%E +1.70%K +1.95%G +0.265% | 5.1% | 2026-03-08 00:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.78%EV -3.91%E -3.49%K -32.55%G +0.000% | 7.35I 13.61%NM 13.22%EV +4.38%E +0.596%K +0.690%G +0.030% | 2.9% | 2026-03-07 23:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.48%EV -4.76%E -4.29%K -43.31%G +0.000% | 7.10I 14.08%NM 13.52%EV +0.834%E +0.117%K +0.137%G +0.001% | 4.2% | 2026-03-08 00:14 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.76%E -4.29%K -43.31%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -0.586%E -0.084%K -0.098%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-07 05:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.76%E -4.29%K -43.31%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -0.586%E -0.084%K -0.098%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-07 05:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.76%E -4.29%K -43.31%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -0.586%E -0.084%K -0.098%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-07 05:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.76%E -4.29%K -43.31%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -0.586%E -0.084%K -0.098%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-07 05:29 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.76%E -4.29%K -43.31%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -0.586%E -0.084%K -0.098%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-07 05:29 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.76%E -4.29%K -43.31%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -0.586%E -0.084%K -0.098%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-07 05:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.76%E -4.29%K -43.31%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -0.586%E -0.084%K -0.098%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-07 05:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.76%E -4.29%K -43.31%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -0.586%E -0.084%K -0.098%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-07 05:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.76%E -4.29%K -43.31%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -0.586%E -0.084%K -0.098%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-07 05:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.76%E -4.29%K -43.31%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -0.586%E -0.084%K -0.098%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-07 05:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.76%E -4.29%K -43.31%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -0.586%E -0.084%K -0.098%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-07 05:29 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.76%E -4.29%K -43.31%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -0.586%E -0.084%K -0.098%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-07 05:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.76%E -4.29%K -43.31%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -0.586%E -0.084%K -0.098%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-07 22:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.76%E -4.29%K -43.31%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -0.586%E -0.084%K -0.098%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-08 01:08 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.62%E -5.11%K -56.22%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -0.586%E -0.084%K -0.098%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-08 00:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.62%E -5.11%K -56.22%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -0.586%E -0.084%K -0.098%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 18:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -7.34%E -6.79%K -91.73%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -0.586%E -0.084%K -0.098%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-08 00:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -7.34%E -6.79%K -91.73%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -0.586%E -0.084%K -0.098%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-08 01:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.86%EV -3.91%E -3.49%K -32.55%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.14%EV -3.43%E -0.504%K -0.591%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-06 20:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.76%E -4.29%K -43.31%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -4.14%E -0.613%K -0.719%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-07 22:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.19%EV -3.05%E -2.70%K -23.45%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV -7.69%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-08 01:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -3.91%E -3.49%K -32.55%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -7.69%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-08 01:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.76%E -4.29%K -43.31%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -7.69%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-05 10:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.76%E -4.29%K -43.31%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -7.69%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-08 00:14 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.76%E -4.29%K -43.31%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -7.69%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-08 00:14 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.62%E -5.11%K -56.22%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -7.69%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-07 19:09 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -4.76%E -4.29%K -43.31%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -9.11%E -1.42%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-08 01:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.57%EV -2.19%E -1.92%K -15.64%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.43%EV -11.24%E -1.80%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-08 00:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -3.05%E -2.70%K -23.45%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -11.24%E -1.80%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-08 01:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.05%E -2.70%K -23.45%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -14.79%E -2.46%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-05 17:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.05%E -2.70%K -23.45%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -14.79%E -2.46%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-08 01:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.76%E -4.29%K -43.31%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -14.79%E -2.46%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-08 01:09 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -2.19%E -1.92%K -15.64%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -26.15%E -5.03%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-08 00:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 87.15% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.85% | -0.2% | 2026-03-08 00:51 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77% | 0.8% | 2026-03-08 01:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77% | 0.8% | 2026-03-08 01:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77% | 0.8% | 2026-03-08 01:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.65% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.35% | 1.2% | 2026-03-08 01:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.33% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.67% | 1.6% | 2026-03-08 01:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 84.35% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.65% | 2.2% | 2026-03-08 01:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.40% | 6.17I 16.21%NM 15.60% | 3.9% | 2026-03-08 01:09 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 83.37% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.79% | 50.00I 2.00%NM 1.83% | 9.0% | 2026-03-06 15:15 |