The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Denis Goltsov v Maxwell Djantou Nana

2026-11-14 17:00 UTC — MMA

Head to Head

1 sportsbook (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Denis Goltsov (Local)

Prediction 74.66%1.34fair odd
EV -3.69%
Edge -2.86%
Kelly -12.74%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.29

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
74.66%74.66%74.66%74.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.291.291.291.2977.52%77.52%77.52%77.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Maxwell Djantou Nana (Visit)

Prediction 25.34%3.95fair odd
EV -3.69%
Edge -0.972%
Kelly -1.32%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.34%25.34%25.34%25.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.803.803.803.8026.32%26.32%26.32%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Denis Goltsov (Local): 74.66%; Maxwell Djantou Nana (Visit): 25.34%. For Denis Goltsov (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.34. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.29, with an expected value of -3.69%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (1 sportsbook)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.69%E -2.86%K -12.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -3.69%E -0.972%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.8%2026-11-10 12:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Discuss this game on odds.forum

No published comments yet.