Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Denis Goltsov v Hasan Mezhiev

2026-08-08 02:00 UTC — MMA

Head to Head

5 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Denis Goltsov (Local)

Prediction 75.07%1.33fair odd
EV -3.16%
Edge -2.45%
Kelly -10.88%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.29

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
74.66%75.07%75.07%75.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.251.261.251.2980.00%79.49%80.00%77.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Hasan Mezhiev (Visit)

Prediction 24.93%4.01fair odd
EV -4.03%
Edge -1.05%
Kelly -1.41%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.51%24.93%24.93%25.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.703.753.703.8527.03%26.67%27.03%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Denis Goltsov (Local): 75.07%; Hasan Mezhiev (Visit): 24.93%. For Denis Goltsov (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.33. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.29, with an expected value of -3.16%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (5 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.16%E -2.45%K -10.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -5.28%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-05 15:59
FanDuel🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -6.16%E -4.93%K -24.63%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -4.03%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 16:00
Unibet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.16%E -4.93%K -24.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -7.77%E -2.10%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-05 16:00
Grosvenor🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.16%E -4.93%K -24.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -7.77%E -2.10%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-05 16:00
Bally Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.16%E -4.93%K -24.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -7.77%E -2.10%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-05 16:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.