Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

David Kozma v David Zawada

2026-08-01 14:00 UTC — MMA

Head to Head

1 sportsbook (1 in analysis )

65%

35%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

David Kozma (Local)

Prediction 64.52%1.55fair odd

EV -7.74%

Edge -5.41%

Kelly -18.00%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.43

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

64.52%64.52%64.52%64.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.431.431.431.4369.93%69.93%69.93%69.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

David Zawada (Visit)

Prediction 35.48%2.82fair odd

EV -7.74%

Edge -2.98%

Kelly -4.84%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

35.48%35.48%35.48%35.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.602.602.602.6038.46%38.46%38.46%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sportsbook Odds (1 sportsbook)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
BetOnline.ag	1.43I 69.93%NM 64.52%EV -7.74%E -5.41%K -18.00%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 35.48%EV -7.74%E -2.98%K -4.84%G +0.000%	8.4%	2026-07-29 01:58

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.