Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Daniel Schwindt v David Hosek

2026-08-01 14:00 UTC — MMA

Head to Head

1 sportsbook (1 in analysis )

59%

41%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Daniel Schwindt (Local)

Prediction 59.13%1.69fair odd

EV -5.99%

Edge -3.77%

Kelly -10.15%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.59

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

59.13%59.13%59.13%59.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.591.591.591.5962.89%62.89%62.89%62.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

David Hosek (Visit)

Prediction 40.87%2.45fair odd

EV -5.99%

Edge -2.60%

Kelly -4.61%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

40.87%40.87%40.87%40.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.302.302.302.3043.48%43.48%43.48%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sportsbook Odds (1 sportsbook)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
BetOnline.ag	1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.99%E -3.77%K -10.15%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.99%E -2.60%K -4.61%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-07-29 01:58

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.