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Daniel Hooker v Salahdine Parnasse

2026-09-05 19:00 UTC — MMA

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Daniel Hooker (Local)

Prediction 21.22%4.71fair odd
EV +6.12%
Edge +1.22%
Kelly +1.53%
Growth +0.094%

assuming max odds 5.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.09%21.54%21.12%27.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.504.324.355.0028.57%23.16%22.99%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Salahdine Parnasse (Visit)

Prediction 78.78%1.27fair odd
EV +2.41%
Edge +1.85%
Kelly +8.03%
Growth +0.193%

assuming max odds 1.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
72.92%78.46%78.88%80.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.151.211.181.3086.96%82.75%84.75%76.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Daniel Hooker (Local): 21.22%; Salahdine Parnasse (Visit): 78.78%. For Daniel Hooker (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.71. 4 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 5.00, producing a positive expected value of +6.12%.

1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -25.72%E -7.35%K -10.29%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV +2.41%E +1.85%K +8.03%G +0.193%5.5%2026-08-23 21:54
Betsson🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -19.35%E -5.09%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV +0.046%E +0.036%K +0.169%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-23 21:54
NordicBet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -19.35%E -5.09%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV +0.046%E +0.036%K +0.169%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-23 21:54
Betway🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -15.10%E -3.78%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -1.53%E -1.22%K -6.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-23 21:54
Marathon Bet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -12.98%E -3.17%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -3.89%E -3.19%K -17.70%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-24 00:14
BetOnline.ag🎯4.83I 20.70%NM 19.90%EV +2.51%E +0.520%K +0.656%G +0.016%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.10%EV -5.47%E -4.56%K -27.34%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-23 21:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV +6.12%E +1.22%K +1.53%G +0.094%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -7.04%E -5.97%K -39.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-23 21:54
888sport🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +1.87%E +0.391%K +0.493%G +0.009%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -7.04%E -5.97%K -39.13%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-23 21:54
Betr (AU)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -0.248%E -0.053%K -0.067%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -7.04%E -5.97%K -39.13%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-23 21:54
ReBet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -4.49%E -0.998%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -7.04%E -5.97%K -39.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-23 21:54
Unibet (FR)🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -7.68%E -1.76%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.66%EV -7.04%E -5.97%K -39.13%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-23 21:54
Betclic (FR)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV +0.813%E +0.171%K +0.217%G +0.002%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -9.41%E -8.18%K -62.72%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-24 00:19
Winamax (FR)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.33%EV -15.10%E -3.78%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 77.67%EV -9.41%E -8.18%K -62.72%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-23 21:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
1xBet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.08%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.08%33.00I 3.03%NM 2.84%6.6%2026-08-24 00:19
Arbitrage (15 combinations) +3.17%PointsBet (AU) 5.00 (20.6%) / Ladbrokes (AU) 1.30 (79.4%)Show all 15 combinations
Daniel Hooker (Local)Salahdine Parnasse (Visit)Margin
PointsBet (AU)🎯 5.00 (20.6%)Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 1.30 (79.4%)+3.17%
BetOnline.ag🎯 4.83 (21.2%)Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 1.30 (78.8%)+2.43%
888sport🎯 4.80 (21.3%)Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 1.30 (78.7%)+2.30%
Betclic (FR)🎯 4.75 (21.5%)Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 1.30 (78.5%)+2.07%
Betr (AU)🎯 4.70 (21.7%)Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 1.30 (78.3%)+1.83%
PointsBet (AU)🎯 5.00 (20.3%)Betsson🎯 1.27 (79.7%)+1.28%
PointsBet (AU)🎯 5.00 (20.3%)NordicBet🎯 1.27 (79.7%)+1.28%
ReBet🎯 4.50 (22.4%)Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 1.30 (77.6%)+0.862%
BetOnline.ag🎯 4.83 (20.8%)Betsson🎯 1.27 (79.2%)+0.559%
BetOnline.ag🎯 4.83 (20.8%)NordicBet🎯 1.27 (79.2%)+0.559%
888sport🎯 4.80 (20.9%)Betsson🎯 1.27 (79.1%)+0.428%
888sport🎯 4.80 (20.9%)NordicBet🎯 1.27 (79.1%)+0.428%
Betclic (FR)🎯 4.75 (21.1%)Betsson🎯 1.27 (78.9%)+0.208%
Betclic (FR)🎯 4.75 (21.1%)NordicBet🎯 1.27 (78.9%)+0.208%
Unibet (FR)🎯 4.35 (23.0%)Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 1.30 (77.0%)+0.088%