Language:English
Daniel Hooker v Salahdine Parnasse
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Daniel Hooker (Local)
Prediction 18.14%5.51fair odd
EV +0.658%
Edge +0.119%
Kelly +0.145%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 5.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.17%18.26%18.08%20.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.505.155.135.5522.22%19.43%19.51%18.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Salahdine Parnasse (Visit)
Prediction 81.86%1.22fair odd
EV -1.76%
Edge -1.47%
Kelly -8.82%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
79.83%81.74%81.92%82.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.081.161.161.2092.59%86.14%86.21%83.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Daniel Hooker (Local): 18.14%; Salahdine Parnasse (Visit): 81.86%. For Daniel Hooker (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.51. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.55, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.658%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 5.55I 18.02%NM 17.29%EV +0.658%E +0.119%K +0.145%G +0.001% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.71%EV -5.04%E -4.34%K -31.49%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-04 08:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.52I 18.12%NM 17.49%EV +0.114%E +0.021%K +0.025%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.51%EV -4.22%E -3.61%K -24.82%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-04 12:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV -0.249%E -0.045%K -0.055%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -4.22%E -3.61%K -24.82%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-03 00:36 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -0.249%E -0.045%K -0.055%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -5.04%E -4.34%K -31.49%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-01 23:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -0.249%E -0.045%K -0.055%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.86%E -5.09%K -39.05%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 01:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -0.249%E -0.045%K -0.055%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.68%E -5.86%K -47.68%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 00:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -2.06%E -0.382%K -0.469%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -5.04%E -4.34%K -31.49%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-01 23:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -2.06%E -0.382%K -0.469%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -6.68%E -5.86%K -47.68%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 12:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -3.88%E -0.731%K -0.901%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -4.22%E -3.61%K -24.82%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-01 19:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -3.88%E -0.731%K -0.901%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.04%E -4.34%K -31.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 01:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -4.78%E -0.911%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.04%E -4.34%K -31.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 22:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -4.78%E -0.911%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.86%E -5.09%K -39.05%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 00:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -4.78%E -0.911%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.86%E -5.09%K -39.05%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-04 13:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -5.69%E -1.09%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -5.86%E -5.09%K -39.05%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 04:25 |
| ReBet🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -5.69%E -1.09%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -5.86%E -5.09%K -39.05%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-01 23:54 |
| Fliff🎯 | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.38%EV -6.60%E -1.28%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.62%EV -5.04%E -4.34%K -31.49%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 21:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.25%EV -6.60%E -1.28%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.75%EV -5.86%E -5.09%K -39.05%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-30 23:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -7.50%E -1.47%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -5.04%E -4.34%K -31.49%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 12:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -7.50%E -1.47%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -5.04%E -4.34%K -31.49%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 12:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -7.50%E -1.47%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -5.04%E -4.34%K -31.49%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 12:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -7.50%E -1.47%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -5.04%E -4.34%K -31.49%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 12:34 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -7.50%E -1.47%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -5.04%E -4.34%K -31.49%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 12:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -7.50%E -1.47%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -5.04%E -4.34%K -31.49%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 15:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -9.32%E -1.86%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -3.40%E -2.88%K -18.90%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-31 20:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -9.32%E -1.86%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -3.40%E -2.88%K -18.90%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-03 22:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.32%E -1.86%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.22%E -3.61%K -24.82%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-30 04:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.32%E -1.86%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.22%E -3.61%K -24.82%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-30 04:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -9.32%E -1.86%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.86%E -5.09%K -39.05%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-01 12:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.38%EV -10.22%E -2.07%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.62%EV -2.58%E -2.17%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-03 16:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.38%EV -10.22%E -2.07%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.62%EV -2.58%E -2.17%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-03 16:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -13.85%E -2.92%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -1.76%E -1.47%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-03 07:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -13.85%E -2.92%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -2.58%E -2.17%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 17:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -16.57%E -3.60%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -5.04%E -4.34%K -31.49%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-03 16:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.35%EV -18.39%E -4.09%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 80.65%EV -11.59%E -10.73%K -144.84%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-08-30 05:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 6.26I 15.97%NM 15.97% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 84.03% | 0.0% | 2026-09-04 12:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97% | 0.8% | 2026-09-04 12:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97% | 0.8% | 2026-09-04 12:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97% | 0.8% | 2026-09-04 12:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.83% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.17% | 1.0% | 2026-09-04 05:35 |
| Novig◎ | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.70% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.30% | 1.7% | 2026-09-04 12:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.06% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.94% | 2.6% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 5.05I 19.80%NM 19.20% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.80% | 3.1% | 2026-09-04 12:50 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.28I 18.94%NM 17.68% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.46% | 50.00I 2.00%NM 1.87% | 7.1% | 2026-09-01 07:10 |