Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Daniel Araujo v Victor Gabriel

2026-08-01 01:00 UTC — MMA

Head to Head

3 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

77%

23%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Daniel Araujo (Local)

Prediction 76.92%1.30fair odd

EV -7.69%

Edge -6.41%

Kelly -38.46%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

76.92%76.92%76.92%77.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.201.201.201.2083.33%83.33%83.33%83.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Victor Gabriel (Visit)

Prediction 23.08%4.33fair odd

EV -3.08%

Edge -0.733%

Kelly -0.962%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

22.22%23.08%23.08%23.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

4.004.134.204.2025.00%24.19%23.81%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sportsbook Odds (3 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
Unibet	1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -7.69%E -6.41%K -38.46%G +0.000%	4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -3.08%E -0.733%K -0.962%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-07-30 13:30
Grosvenor	1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -7.69%E -6.41%K -38.46%G +0.000%	4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -3.08%E -0.733%K -0.962%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-07-30 13:29
BetOnline.ag	1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.69%E -6.41%K -38.46%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.69%E -1.92%K -2.56%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-07-30 13:29

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.