Language:English
Damian Pinas v Wes Schultz
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Damian Pinas (Local)
Prediction 67.99%1.47fair odd
EV -2.09%
Edge -1.45%
Kelly -4.76%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.44
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.51%67.94%68.03%69.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.371.401.401.4472.99%71.53%71.43%69.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Wes Schultz (Visit)
Prediction 32.01%3.12fair odd
EV -0.128%
Edge -0.041%
Kelly -0.060%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.12
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.82%32.06%31.97%33.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.852.973.003.1235.09%33.71%33.33%32.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Damian Pinas (Local): 67.99%; Wes Schultz (Visit): 32.01%. For Wes Schultz (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.124. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.120, with an expected value of -0.128%; they did not produce positive expected value.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -2.09%E -1.45%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -7.17%E -2.47%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-28 22:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.51%EV -2.09%E -1.45%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.49%EV -8.45%E -2.95%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-28 22:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.79%EV -2.77%E -1.94%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.01I 33.22%NM 32.21%EV -3.65%E -1.21%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-02-28 22:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -2.77%E -1.94%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -7.17%E -2.47%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-28 22:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.45%E -2.43%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -3.97%E -1.32%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-28 18:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.73%EV -3.45%E -2.43%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.27%EV -4.61%E -1.55%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-28 21:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -3.45%E -2.43%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -5.57%E -1.89%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-28 21:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.45%E -2.43%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -7.17%E -2.47%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-28 13:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.45%E -2.43%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -7.17%E -2.47%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-28 13:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.45%E -2.43%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -8.77%E -3.08%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-28 22:14 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.13%E -2.93%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -5.57%E -1.89%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-28 21:54 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.13%E -2.93%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -5.57%E -1.89%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-28 22:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.81%E -3.44%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.97%E -1.32%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-28 12:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.81%E -3.44%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.97%E -1.32%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-24 09:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.81%E -3.44%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.97%E -1.32%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-28 13:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.89%EV -4.81%E -3.44%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.11%EV -5.25%E -1.77%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-28 21:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.81%E -3.44%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.17%E -2.47%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-28 20:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.81%E -3.44%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.17%E -2.47%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-28 10:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.81%E -3.44%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -7.81%E -2.71%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-28 18:08 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.81%E -3.44%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -7.81%E -2.71%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-28 18:04 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.18%EV -5.49%E -3.95%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.82%EV -0.128%E -0.041%K -0.060%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-24 20:28 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.17%E -4.47%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.97%E -1.32%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-28 20:14 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.17%E -4.47%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.97%E -1.32%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-28 20:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.17%E -4.47%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.97%E -1.32%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-28 20:14 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.17%E -4.47%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.97%E -1.32%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-28 20:14 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.17%E -4.47%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.97%E -1.32%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-28 20:14 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.17%E -4.47%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.97%E -1.32%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-28 20:14 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.17%E -4.47%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.97%E -1.32%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-28 20:14 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.17%E -4.47%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.97%E -1.32%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-28 20:14 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.17%E -4.47%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.97%E -1.32%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-28 20:14 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.17%E -4.47%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.97%E -1.32%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-28 20:14 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.17%E -4.47%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.97%E -1.32%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-28 20:14 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.17%E -4.47%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.97%E -1.32%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-28 20:14 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.17%E -4.47%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.97%E -1.32%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-28 20:14 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.17%E -4.47%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.97%E -1.32%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-28 17:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.58%EV -6.85%E -5.00%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 31.42%EV -4.29%E -1.43%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-28 22:14 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.58%EV -6.85%E -5.00%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 31.42%EV -4.29%E -1.43%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-28 22:14 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 68.60% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 31.40% | -0.2% | 2026-02-28 22:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52% | 0.7% | 2026-02-28 22:14 |
| Novig◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.57% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.43% | 2.0% | 2026-02-28 22:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.43% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.57% | 2.2% | 2026-02-28 22:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.43% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.57% | 2.2% | 2026-02-28 22:15 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.27% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.73% | 2.5% | 2026-02-28 22:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82% | 4.8% | 2026-02-28 22:13 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.17% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 30.99% | 50.00I 2.00%NM 1.84% | 8.7% | 2026-02-28 21:29 |