Language:English
Dakota Hope v Kai Kamaka
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Dakota Hope (Local)
Prediction 41.44%2.41fair odd
EV +0.287%
Edge +0.119%
Kelly +0.202%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 2.42
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.70%41.37%41.48%58.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.572.292.302.4263.69%43.73%43.48%41.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Kai Kamaka (Visit)
Prediction 58.56%1.71fair odd
EV +31.76%
Edge +14.11%
Kelly +25.41%
Growth +8.07%
assuming max odds 2.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.10%58.63%58.52%60.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.581.641.632.2563.29%60.91%61.35%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Dakota Hope (Local): 41.44%; Kai Kamaka (Visit): 58.56%. For Kai Kamaka (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.71. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +31.76%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -34.94%E -22.25%K -61.29%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV +31.76%E +14.11%K +25.41%G +8.07% | 8.1% | 2026-04-04 21:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%EV -3.86%E -1.66%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%EV -2.21%E -1.32%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-04 20:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.39%EV -5.93%E -2.61%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.61%EV -2.21%E -1.32%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-04 20:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.76%E -3.00%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.21%E -1.32%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-03 13:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.69%E -2.04%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.38%E -2.05%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-04 20:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -3.03%E -1.29%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-04 13:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.69%E -2.04%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-04 20:54 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.69%E -2.04%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-04 09:29 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.51%E -2.42%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-04 20:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.51%E -2.42%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-04 20:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.51%E -2.42%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-04 20:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.51%E -2.42%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-04 20:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.51%E -2.42%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-04 20:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.51%E -2.42%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-04 20:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.51%E -2.42%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-04 20:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.51%E -2.42%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-04 20:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.51%E -2.42%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-04 20:39 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.51%E -2.42%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-04 20:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.51%E -2.42%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-04 20:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.51%E -2.42%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-04 20:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV +0.287%E +0.119%K +0.202%G +0.001% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -5.13%E -3.17%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-04 21:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.61%E -1.11%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.13%E -3.17%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-04 20:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -3.03%E -1.29%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -5.13%E -3.17%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-04 20:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.69%E -2.04%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.13%E -3.17%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-04 20:39 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.69%E -2.04%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.13%E -3.17%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-04 20:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.69%E -2.04%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.13%E -3.17%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-04 20:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.69%E -2.04%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.13%E -3.17%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-04 14:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.76%E -3.00%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.13%E -3.17%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-01 16:43 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.76%E -3.00%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.13%E -3.17%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-01 17:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -0.542%E -0.226%K -0.387%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -5.72%E -3.55%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-04 20:23 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.61%E -1.11%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.72%E -3.55%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-04 17:12 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -3.86%E -1.66%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.72%E -3.55%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-04 20:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -3.86%E -1.66%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.72%E -3.55%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-04 13:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.69%E -2.04%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.72%E -3.55%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-04 14:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.69%E -2.04%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.31%E -3.94%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-04 20:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -0.542%E -0.226%K -0.387%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -7.48%E -4.73%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-04 17:14 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -0.542%E -0.226%K -0.387%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -7.48%E -4.73%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-04 17:14 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.26% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.74% | 0.1% | 2026-04-04 20:54 |
| Novig◎ | 2.41I 41.49%NM 41.36% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.64% | 0.3% | 2026-04-04 21:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54% | 0.5% | 2026-04-04 21:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54% | 0.5% | 2026-04-04 21:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54% | 0.5% | 2026-04-04 21:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68% | 0.8% | 2026-04-04 21:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 0.9% | 2026-04-04 21:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.94% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.06% | 1.9% | 2026-04-04 21:05 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.35% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.22% | 38.00I 2.63%NM 2.43% | 8.5% | 2026-04-02 21:25 |