Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Dakota Ditcheva v Denise Kielholtz

2026-07-31 23:00 UTC — MMA

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

91%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Dakota Ditcheva (Local)

Prediction 90.58%1.10fair odd

EV -8.51%

Edge -8.43%

Kelly -851.47%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.01

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

87.10%90.58%90.58%94.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.001.001.001.01100.00%99.50%99.50%99.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Denise Kielholtz (Visit)

Prediction 9.42%10.62fair odd

EV +50.73%

Edge +3.17%

Kelly +3.38%

Growth +1.72%

assuming max odds 16.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

5.94%9.42%9.42%12.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

6.7511.3811.3816.0014.81%8.79%8.79%6.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
BetOnline.ag	1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -8.51%E -8.43%K -851.47%G +0.000%	16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV +50.73%E +3.17%K +3.38%G +1.72%	5.3%	2026-07-29 00:05
Winamax (FR)	1.00I 100.00%NM 87.10%EV -9.42%E -9.42%K +0.000%G +0.000%	6.75I 14.81%NM 12.90%EV -36.41%E -5.39%K -6.33%G +0.000%	14.8%	2026-07-29 00:04

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.