The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Court McGee v Eric Nolan

Kickoff: 2026-10-03 20:04 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

31 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Court McGee (Local)

Prediction 33.06%3.02fair odd
EV -2.46%
Edge -0.836%
Kelly -1.26%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.49%33.11%33.03%34.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.852.882.9538.46%35.04%34.72%33.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Eric Nolan (Visit)

Prediction 66.94%1.49fair odd
EV -2.94%
Edge -2.03%
Kelly -6.54%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.63%66.89%66.97%67.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.421.421.4576.92%70.44%70.42%68.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Court McGee (Local): 33.06%; Eric Nolan (Visit): 66.94%. For Court McGee (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.02. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.95, with an expected value of -2.46%; they did not produce positive expected value.

1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (31 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
NordicBet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -2.46%E -0.836%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.95%E -3.49%K -11.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-03 15:00
Pinnacle🎯2.93I 34.13%NM 33.11%EV -3.13%E -1.07%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.89%EV -2.94%E -2.03%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-03 12:45
BetOnline.ag🎯2.93I 34.13%NM 32.80%EV -3.13%E -1.07%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.20%EV -4.28%E -2.99%K -9.95%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-03 19:25
Bovada🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.12%E -1.42%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.28%E -2.99%K -9.95%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-03 18:43
DraftKings🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.12%E -1.42%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.28%E -2.99%K -9.95%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-03 12:45
FanDuel🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.12%E -1.42%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.28%E -2.99%K -9.95%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-03 17:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.12%E -1.42%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.95%E -3.49%K -11.78%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-03 19:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.12%E -1.42%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.95%E -3.49%K -11.78%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-02 22:40
Betsson🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.12%E -1.42%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.29%E -4.49%K -15.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-03 14:59
ReBet🎯2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV -4.45%E -1.54%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -3.61%E -2.51%K -8.21%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-03 08:05
Coolbet🎯2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV -4.45%E -1.54%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -3.61%E -2.51%K -8.21%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-03 14:40
BetRivers🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -4.78%E -1.66%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.95%E -3.49%K -11.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-02 22:39
LiveScore Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -4.78%E -1.66%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.95%E -3.49%K -11.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-02 22:40
Virgin Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -4.78%E -1.66%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.95%E -3.49%K -11.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-02 22:39
TABtouch🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -4.78%E -1.66%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.95%E -3.49%K -11.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-02 22:40
Unibet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -4.78%E -1.66%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.95%E -3.49%K -11.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-02 22:40
ATG (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -4.78%E -1.66%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.95%E -3.49%K -11.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-02 22:39
Bally Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -4.78%E -1.66%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.95%E -3.49%K -11.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-02 22:39
betPARX🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -4.78%E -1.66%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.95%E -3.49%K -11.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-02 22:39
Caesars🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -5.77%E -2.02%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.61%E -2.51%K -8.21%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-02 15:14
Unibet (UK)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -5.77%E -2.02%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.61%E -2.51%K -8.21%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-02 20:00
BetMGM🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -5.77%E -2.02%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.61%E -2.51%K -8.21%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-02 11:35
Bet Right🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -5.77%E -2.02%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.95%E -3.49%K -11.78%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-03 02:14
888sport🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -5.77%E -2.02%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.29%E -4.49%K -15.72%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-02 22:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -7.42%E -2.65%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -3.61%E -2.51%K -8.21%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-01 21:50
Betr (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.42%E -2.65%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.95%E -3.49%K -11.78%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-02 22:45
BetAnything🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.08%E -3.30%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.61%E -2.51%K -8.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-03 19:45
Paddy Power🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.08%E -3.30%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.29%E -4.49%K -15.72%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-03 17:20
Sky Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.08%E -3.30%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.29%E -4.49%K -15.72%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-03 17:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.08%E -3.30%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.29%E -4.49%K -15.72%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-03 17:15
Grosvenor🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.33%EV -14.04%E -5.40%K -8.77%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 66.67%EV -12.98%E -9.99%K -43.27%G +0.000%15.4%2026-10-02 22:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly◎3.06I 32.68%NM 32.75%1.49I 67.11%NM 67.25%-0.2%2026-10-03 20:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.98I 33.56%NM 33.48%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.52%0.2%2026-10-03 20:00
Matchbook◎2.94I 34.01%NM 33.93%1.51I 66.23%NM 66.07%0.2%2026-10-03 20:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.94I 34.01%NM 33.93%1.51I 66.23%NM 66.07%0.2%2026-10-03 20:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%0.9%2026-10-03 19:30
ProphetX◎2.86I 34.97%NM 34.40%1.50I 66.67%NM 65.60%1.6%2026-10-03 20:00
Novig◎2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.67%2.0%2026-10-03 20:00

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
1xBet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.49%1.41I 70.92%NM 65.66%50.00I 2.00%NM 1.85%8.0%2026-10-01 08:20