The School of Odds

Cody Gibson v Abdul Hussein

2026-07-25 13:35 UTC — MMA

Head to Head

5 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

1 bookmaker(s) offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Cody Gibson (Local)

Prediction 24.04%4.16fair odd
EV -1.67%
Edge -0.409%
Kelly -0.542%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.09

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.41%24.04%24.04%25.00%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.753.954.004.0927%25%25%24%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Abdul Hussein (Visit)

Prediction 75.96%1.32fair odd
EV -5.05%
Edge -4.04%
Kelly -20.20%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
75.00%75.96%75.96%76.59%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.241.251.251.2581%80%80%80%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (5 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetUS4.09I 24.45%NM 23.41%EV -1.67%E -0.409%K -0.542%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.59%EV -5.05%E -4.04%K -20.20%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-18 02:45
BetOnline.ag4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.84%E -0.959%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.05%E -4.04%K -20.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-18 02:40
SportsBet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -3.84%E -0.959%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.81%E -4.69%K -24.21%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-18 02:40
FanDuel3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -6.24%E -1.60%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.05%E -4.04%K -20.20%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-18 02:40
Paddy Power3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.85%E -2.63%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.05%E -4.04%K -20.20%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-18 02:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
1xBet4.05I 24.69%NM 23.06%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.11%33.00I 3.03%NM 2.83%7.1%2026-07-18 02:40