The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Cobey Fehr v Daniel Bzdigian

Kickoff: 2026-06-28 00:10 UTC

Final: Cobey Fehr 1–0 Daniel Bzdigian

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

4 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cobey Fehr (Local)

Prediction 89.57%1.12fair odd
EV -2.37%
Edge -2.17%
Kelly -26.30%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.09

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
86.93%89.57%89.57%90.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.061.081.081.0994.34%92.59%92.17%91.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Daniel Bzdigian (Visit)

Prediction 10.43%9.59fair odd
EV +4.29%
Edge +0.429%
Kelly +0.476%
Growth +0.020%

assuming max odds 10.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
9.58%10.43%10.43%13.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.258.257.8810.0013.79%12.12%12.70%10.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cobey Fehr (Local): 89.57%; Daniel Bzdigian (Visit): 10.43%. For Daniel Bzdigian (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 9.59. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 10.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.29%.

Sportsbook Odds (4 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -5.05%E -4.77%K -84.24%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +4.29%E +0.429%K +0.476%G +0.020%4.3%2026-06-27 23:20
FanDuel🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -3.26%E -3.02%K -40.79%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -11.36%E -1.34%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-27 23:50
Neds🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.93%EV -2.37%E -2.17%K -26.30%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.07%EV -24.39%E -3.36%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-27 23:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.93%EV -2.37%E -2.17%K -26.30%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.07%EV -24.39%E -3.36%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-27 23:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.