Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cheyden Leialoha v Robbie Ring

Kickoff: 2026-08-08 01:04 UTC

Final: Cheyden Leialoha 1–0 Robbie Ring

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

6 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cheyden Leialoha (Local)

Prediction 73.74%1.36fair odd
EV -1.19%
Edge -0.886%
Kelly -3.49%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.34

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
69.48%73.74%73.74%74.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.281.301.301.3478.13%76.63%76.92%74.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Robbie Ring (Visit)

Prediction 26.26%3.81fair odd
EV -2.84%
Edge -0.768%
Kelly -1.05%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.70%26.26%26.26%30.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.433.443.7032.79%29.15%29.07%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cheyden Leialoha (Local): 73.74%; Robbie Ring (Visit): 26.26%. For Cheyden Leialoha (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.36. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.34, with an expected value of -1.19%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (6 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Grosvenor🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -1.19%E -0.886%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -19.91%E -6.53%K -9.71%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-07 17:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.48%EV -3.40%E -2.59%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.52%EV -4.68%E -1.29%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-08 00:54
FanDuel🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -4.14%E -3.18%K -13.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -2.84%E -0.768%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-08 00:55
Bally Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -4.14%E -3.18%K -13.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -14.66%E -4.51%K -6.51%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-08 01:00
Unibet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -4.14%E -3.18%K -13.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -14.66%E -4.51%K -6.51%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-08 01:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.61%E -4.38%K -20.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -2.84%E -0.768%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-08 01:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.