Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.24
assuming max odds 4.60
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cheyanne Bowers (Local): 78.22%; Elora Dana (Visit): 21.78%. For Elora Dana (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.59. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.167%.
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.13%E -5.11%K -30.65%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.167%E +0.036%K +0.046%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-08 00:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.57%E -3.74%K -20.75%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.01%E -0.447%K -0.574%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-08 00:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.78%EV -3.00%E -2.42%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 4.34I 23.04%NM 22.22%EV -5.49%E -1.27%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-08 00:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -3.78%E -3.08%K -16.45%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -13.99%E -3.54%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-08 00:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -3.78%E -3.08%K -16.45%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -13.99%E -3.54%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-08 00:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -3.78%E -3.08%K -16.45%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -13.99%E -3.54%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-08 00:25 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.