Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.80
assuming max odds 4.50
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chelsea Chandler (Local): 59.84%; Priscila Cachoeira (Visit): 40.16%. For Priscila Cachoeira (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.49. 15 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +80.71%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -28.19%E -23.49%K -140.95%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +80.71%E +17.94%K +23.06%G +18.61% | 5.6% | 2026-06-06 22:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -25.80%E -20.80%K -107.48%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV +60.63%E +15.16%K +20.21%G +12.25% | 5.6% | 2026-06-06 22:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -25.80%E -20.80%K -107.48%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV +54.61%E +14.18%K +19.16%G +10.46% | 6.6% | 2026-06-06 22:19 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.79%EV -26.39%E -21.46%K -114.76%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV +54.61%E +14.18%K +19.16%G +10.46% | 7.3% | 2026-06-06 22:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.90%EV -25.80%E -20.80%K -107.48%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV +48.58%E +13.13%K +17.99%G +8.74% | 7.7% | 2026-06-06 22:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.90%EV -25.80%E -20.80%K -107.48%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV +48.58%E +13.13%K +17.99%G +8.74% | 7.7% | 2026-06-06 22:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.90%EV -25.80%E -20.80%K -107.48%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV +48.58%E +13.13%K +17.99%G +8.74% | 7.7% | 2026-06-06 22:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.90%EV -25.80%E -20.80%K -107.48%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV +48.58%E +13.13%K +17.99%G +8.74% | 7.7% | 2026-06-06 22:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.95%EV -26.99%E -22.12%K -122.69%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.05%EV +46.58%E +12.76%K +17.58%G +8.19% | 9.4% | 2026-06-06 22:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -25.20%E -20.16%K -100.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV +44.57%E +12.38%K +17.14%G +7.64% | 7.8% | 2026-06-06 22:18 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -22.80%E -17.68%K -78.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV +40.55%E +11.59%K +16.22%G +6.58% | 6.1% | 2026-06-06 22:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -25.20%E -20.16%K -100.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV +40.55%E +11.59%K +16.22%G +6.58% | 8.6% | 2026-06-06 22:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -20.41%E -15.35%K -61.85%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +30.51%E +9.39%K +13.56%G +4.14% | 6.0% | 2026-06-06 22:19 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -20.41%E -15.35%K -61.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV +28.50%E +8.91%K +12.96%G +3.69% | 6.4% | 2026-06-06 22:18 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -14.43%E -10.09%K -33.55%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +12.44%E +4.44%K +6.91%G +0.860% | 5.6% | 2026-06-06 22:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV +0.535%E +0.319%K +0.787%G +0.004% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -11.65%E -5.30%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-06 22:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV +0.535%E +0.319%K +0.787%G +0.004% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -11.65%E -5.30%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-06 22:09 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV +0.535%E +0.319%K +0.787%G +0.004% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -11.65%E -5.30%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-06 21:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV +2.93%E +1.70%K +4.07%G +0.119% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -12.46%E -5.71%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-06 21:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV +4.13%E +2.37%K +5.58%G +0.230% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -13.66%E -6.35%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-06 22:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV +1.73%E +1.02%K +2.47%G +0.043% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -13.66%E -6.35%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-06 20:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV +1.13%E +0.671%K +1.64%G +0.019% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -13.66%E -6.35%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-06 20:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV +4.13%E +2.37%K +5.58%G +0.230% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -14.06%E -6.57%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-06 22:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.34%EV +7.12%E +3.98%K +9.01%G +0.641% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.66%EV -14.46%E -6.79%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-06-06 22:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV +2.93%E +1.70%K +4.07%G +0.119% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -14.87%E -7.01%K -13.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-06 22:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV +4.13%E +2.37%K +5.58%G +0.230% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -15.67%E -7.46%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-06 22:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV +6.52%E +3.66%K +8.36%G +0.545% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -16.87%E -8.15%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-06 22:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV +5.92%E +3.35%K +7.69%G +0.455% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -17.68%E -8.62%K -16.83%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-06 22:16 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV +4.72%E +2.70%K +6.30%G +0.298% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -17.68%E -8.62%K -16.83%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-06 22:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV +7.72%E +4.29%K +9.65%G +0.744% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -19.68%E -9.84%K -19.68%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-03 12:39 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV +6.52%E +3.66%K +8.36%G +0.545% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -20.49%E -10.35%K -20.91%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-06 22:17 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.76% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 43.24% | 0.1% | 2026-06-06 21:49 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78% | 0.6% | 2026-06-06 22:15 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.00I 100.00%NM 99.01% | 100.00I 1.00%NM 0.99% | 1.0% | 2026-06-06 22:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19% | 4.9% | 2026-06-06 22:16 |
| Novig◎ | 1.00I 100.00%NM 93.02% | 13.33I 7.50%NM 6.98% | 7.5% | 2026-06-06 22:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.63% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.37% | 9.4% | 2026-06-06 22:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.00% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.00% | 12.4% | 2026-06-06 22:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 66.87% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 33.13% | 34.7% | 2026-06-06 22:20 |
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.26% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.91% | 50.00I 2.00%NM 1.83% | 9.2% | 2026-06-06 22:09 |