Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chase Hooper v Mitch Ramirez

Kickoff: 2026-07-19 01:30 UTC

Final: Chase Hooper 1–0 Mitch Ramirez

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

38 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chase Hooper (Local)

Prediction 74.87%1.34fair odd
EV -2.66%
Edge -2.05%
Kelly -8.88%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
72.65%74.81%75.05%76.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.221.271.271.3081.97%78.77%78.74%76.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Mitch Ramirez (Visit)

Prediction 25.13%3.98fair odd
EV +3.02%
Edge +0.737%
Kelly +0.974%
Growth +0.029%

assuming max odds 4.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.22%25.19%24.95%27.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.783.854.1029.41%26.42%25.97%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetMGM1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -6.41%E -5.13%K -25.63%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV +3.02%E +0.737%K +0.974%G +0.029%4.4%2026-07-18 17:40
Bet Right1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -7.16%E -5.77%K -29.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +3.02%E +0.737%K +0.974%G +0.029%5.0%2026-07-19 01:00
Pinnacle1.29I 77.52%NM 75.43%EV -3.41%E -2.65%K -11.77%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.57%EV -0.498%E -0.126%K -0.168%G +0.000%2.8%2026-07-19 01:25
BetUS1.27I 78.74%NM 75.48%EV -4.91%E -3.87%K -18.19%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 24.52%EV -1.75%E -0.449%K -0.603%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-19 01:23
BetOnline.ag1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.91%E -3.87%K -18.19%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -2.01%E -0.514%K -0.692%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-19 01:20
Coolbet1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.91%E -3.87%K -18.19%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -2.01%E -0.514%K -0.692%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-19 01:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.66%E -4.49%K -21.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -2.01%E -0.514%K -0.692%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-18 23:45
DraftKings1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -4.16%E -3.25%K -14.87%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -3.26%E -0.847%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-19 01:25
NordicBet1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -4.16%E -3.25%K -14.87%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -3.26%E -0.847%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-18 20:30
Betsson1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -4.16%E -3.25%K -14.87%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -3.26%E -0.847%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-18 20:30
BetRivers1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.91%E -3.87%K -18.19%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -3.26%E -0.847%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 15:50
TABtouch1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.91%E -3.87%K -18.19%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -3.26%E -0.847%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 15:50
Unibet1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.91%E -3.87%K -18.19%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -3.26%E -0.847%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 15:50
Virgin Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.91%E -3.87%K -18.19%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -3.26%E -0.847%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 15:50
LiveScore Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.91%E -3.87%K -18.19%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -3.26%E -0.847%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 15:50
Grosvenor1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.91%E -3.87%K -18.19%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -3.26%E -0.847%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 15:50
Bally Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.91%E -3.87%K -18.19%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -3.26%E -0.847%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 15:50
betPARX1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.91%E -3.87%K -18.19%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -3.26%E -0.847%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 15:50
ATG (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.91%E -3.87%K -18.19%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -3.26%E -0.847%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 15:50
PMU (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.91%E -3.87%K -18.19%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -3.26%E -0.847%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 15:50
Betr (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -6.41%E -5.13%K -25.63%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -3.26%E -0.847%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-18 15:55
Bovada1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.41%E -2.65%K -11.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -4.52%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-19 01:29
PlayUp1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.91%E -3.87%K -18.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.52%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-18 20:30
Fliff1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -5.66%E -4.49%K -21.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -4.52%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-19 00:15
Caesars1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.41%E -2.65%K -11.77%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -5.77%E -1.54%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-19 01:24
PointsBet (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.16%E -3.25%K -14.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -5.77%E -1.54%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-19 01:25
Hard Rock Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.91%E -3.87%K -18.19%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -5.77%E -1.54%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-18 15:50
SportsBet1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.66%E -4.49%K -21.77%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -5.77%E -1.54%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-19 01:20
Marathon Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -5.66%E -4.49%K -21.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -7.03%E -1.90%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-17 08:45
Betclic (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -8.65%E -7.09%K -39.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -7.03%E -1.90%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-19 01:23
FanDuel1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -4.91%E -3.87%K -18.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -8.29%E -2.27%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-19 01:25
Betway1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.41%E -2.65%K -11.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -9.54%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-14 13:24
Winamax (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 74.38%EV -7.16%E -5.77%K -29.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -9.54%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-19 01:15
Unibet (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 74.38%EV -7.16%E -5.77%K -29.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -9.54%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-19 01:25
Unibet (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -2.66%E -2.05%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -12.06%E -3.44%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-19 01:15
Paddy Power1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -3.41%E -2.65%K -11.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -12.06%E -3.44%K -4.82%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-13 03:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -3.41%E -2.65%K -11.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -12.06%E -3.44%K -4.82%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-13 03:19
BetAnything1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -4.16%E -3.25%K -14.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -14.57%E -4.28%K -6.07%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-19 01:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.30I 76.92%NM 76.87%4.32I 23.15%NM 23.13%0.1%2026-07-19 01:14
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%0.7%2026-07-19 01:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%0.7%2026-07-19 01:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%0.7%2026-07-19 01:25
Polymarket1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-07-19 01:15
Kalshi1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-07-17 21:34
ProphetX1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43%0.8%2026-07-19 01:25
Novig1.32I 75.76%NM 74.81%3.92I 25.51%NM 25.19%1.3%2026-07-19 01:25
Matchbook1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%4.1%2026-07-19 01:14